Image of DOT
DOTPolkadot
$1.01
-2.19%
1D

Polkadot Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Polkadot's investment prospects.
5.4

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • Bollinger Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are at historically narrow levels, signaling a high-energy move is coiling. Watch for a directional break.
  • Institutional Support Reclaimed: A recent candle wick broke below SMA200 but closed above it while VWMA held, indicating strong buying interest at that level.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Volatile
Confidence: 53%
Why this state?
  • DOT is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Wait for breakout confirmation. Price is still non-directional, but volatility is elevated, so false moves are more common and waiting for a cleaner breakout confirmation is usually the better setup.

Trend
Sideways
DOT is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 37.62, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
DOT ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$1.10 - $1.48
Active zone
$0.9811 - $1.08
Support zone
$0.8378 - $0.9768
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Polkadot support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.8378 - $0.9768
Resistance zone
$1.10 - $1.48
Active zone
$0.9811 - $1.08
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.8378 - $0.9768
Resistance 1$1.10 - $1.48
Resistance 2$2.30 - $2.43
Resistance 3$3.39 - $3.57
Resistance 4$3.75 - $3.91
Active 1$0.9811 - $1.08
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

DOT clears the resistance zone at $1.10 - $1.48 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $2.30 - $2.43.

Bearish scenario

DOT loses the support zone at $0.8378 - $0.9768. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.8378 - $0.9768.

Neutral scenario

DOT continues trading between $0.9768 and $1.10. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$1.14
Bearish
DOT is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$1.04
Bearish
DOT remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$1.11
Bearish
DOT is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$1.18
Bearish
DOT is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
37.62
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 37.62, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.01911
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
7.45%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$1.16
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-175.64
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -175.64, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.06406
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.06406, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-94.71
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -94.71.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.07885
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.07885, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
35.39
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 35.39, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$1.05
Bearish
DOT is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$1.15
Bearish
DOT is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Polkadot

Over the past 7 days, Polkadot price was most positively correlated with the price of Cosmos (ATOM), Aave (AAVE), Sui Crypto (SUI), Conflux (CFX) and Worldcoin (WLD) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), Beldex (BDX), Convex Finance (CVX), Dash (DASH) and LEO Token (LEO).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of CosmosCosmos0.958
Image of AaveAave0.947
Image of Sui CryptoSui Crypto0.947
Image of ConfluxConflux0.945
Image of WorldcoinWorldcoin0.937
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JUSTJUST-0.658
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.158
Image of Convex FinanceConvex Finance-0.045
Image of DashDash-0.030
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token0.065

Polkadot price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.831, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.720. Currencies that are positively correlated with Polkadot indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Polkadot, a move in one direction for Polkadot would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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