Image of DOGE
DOGEDogecoin
$0.06837
0.54%
1D

Dogecoin Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Dogecoin's investment prospects.
3.3

The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Stoch RSI is near the lower end of its range, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Volatile
Confidence: 88%
Why this state?
  • DOGE is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.

Trend
Bearish
DOGE is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 30.64, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
DOGE ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.07692 - $0.08492
Support zone
$0.06382 - $0.06796
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Dogecoin support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.06382 - $0.06796
Resistance zone
$0.07692 - $0.08492
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.06382 - $0.06796
Resistance 1$0.07692 - $0.08492
Resistance 2$0.08651 - $0.09603
Resistance 3$0.09855 - $0.1067
Resistance 4$0.1147 - $0.1223
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

DOGE clears the resistance zone at $0.07692 - $0.08492 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.08651 - $0.09603.

Bearish scenario

DOGE loses the support zone at $0.06382 - $0.06796. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.06382 - $0.06796.

Neutral scenario

DOGE continues trading between $0.06796 and $0.07692. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.08345
Bearish
DOGE is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.08512
Bearish
DOGE remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.07939
Bearish
DOGE is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.08871
Bearish
DOGE is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
30.64
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 30.64, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.7390
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.7390, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.003576
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
4.69%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.07517
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-168.87
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -168.87, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.007796
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.007796, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-91.23
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -91.23.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.004341
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.004341, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
43.49
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 43.49, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.06806
Bearish
DOGE is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.07517
Bearish
DOGE is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Dogecoin

Over the past 7 days, Dogecoin price was most positively correlated with the price of Stellar (XLM), Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK), Litecoin (LTC) and Sui Crypto (SUI) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), Pepe Coin (PEPE), Arbitrum (ARB), Injective (INJ) and World Liberty Financial (WLFI).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of StellarStellar0.988
Image of CardanoCardano0.986
Image of ChainlinkChainlink0.985
Image of LitecoinLitecoin0.983
Image of Sui CryptoSui Crypto0.982
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JUSTJUST-0.642
Image of Pepe CoinPepe Coin-0.454
Image of ArbitrumArbitrum-0.258
Image of InjectiveInjective-0.060
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial0.056

Dogecoin price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.747, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.768. Currencies that are positively correlated with Dogecoin indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Dogecoin, a move in one direction for Dogecoin would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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