Image of TRAC
TRACOriginTrail
$0.3617
4.73%
1D

OriginTrail Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into OriginTrail's investment prospects.
6.8

The setup has a mild positive bias, but the reward-to-risk is not clean enough to be aggressive.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Price is holding above the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move still has volume-backed support.
Main risks
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
  • Stoch RSI is near the upper end of its range, which suggests short-term momentum may be overheated.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Quiet
Confidence: 71%
Why this state?
  • TRAC is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.

Trend
Bullish
TRAC is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 59.52, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
TRAC ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.3604 - $0.5743
Support zone
$0.3094 - $0.3403
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

OriginTrail support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.3094 - $0.3403
Resistance zone
$0.3604 - $0.5743
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.3094 - $0.3403
Support 2$0.2404 - $0.2713
Resistance 1$0.3604 - $0.5743
Resistance 2$0.5923 - $0.6452
Resistance 3$0.7083 - $0.7392
Resistance 4$0.7480 - $0.8017
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

TRAC clears the resistance zone at $0.3604 - $0.5743 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.5923 - $0.6452.

Bearish scenario

TRAC loses the support zone at $0.3094 - $0.3403. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.2404 - $0.2713.

Neutral scenario

TRAC continues trading between $0.3403 and $0.3604. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.3095
Bullish
TRAC is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.3153
Bullish
TRAC remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.3176
Bullish
TRAC is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.3284
Bullish
TRAC is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
59.52
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 59.52, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
100.00
Overbought
Stoch RSI (14) is high at 100.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent upper extreme.
MACD
0.006618
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
6.65%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.3340
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
146.13
Bullish
CCI (20) is strong at 146.13, which shows price is trading well above its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.008328
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.008328, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-21.96
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -21.96, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.01333
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.01333, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
49.36
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 49.36, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.3504
Bullish
TRAC is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.3374
Bullish
TRAC is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to OriginTrail

Over the past 7 days, OriginTrail price was most positively correlated with the price of Cronos (CRO), Canton (CC), Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Bonk (BONK) and Official Trump (TRUMP) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), Pi Network (PI), Beldex (BDX), XDC Network (XDC) and LEO Token (LEO).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of CronosCronos0.836
Image of CantonCanton0.830
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.816
Image of BonkBonk0.809
Image of Official TrumpOfficial Trump0.804
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JUSTJUST-0.275
Image of Pi NetworkPi Network-0.045
Image of BeldexBeldex0.049
Image of XDC NetworkXDC Network0.519
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token0.526

OriginTrail price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.722, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.705. Currencies that are positively correlated with OriginTrail indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with OriginTrail, a move in one direction for OriginTrail would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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