Image of TRAC
TRACOriginTrail
$0.3380
0.04%
1D

OriginTrail Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into OriginTrail's investment prospects.
8.0

The asset still looks technically supportive, with multiple signals continuing to back the setup.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Institutional Support Reclaimed: A recent candle wick broke below SMA200 but closed above it while VWMA held, indicating strong buying interest at that level.
Main risks
  • Price is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which suggests the broader structure is weakening.
  • Trend Exhaustion Risk: Price is more than 5% extended above EMA50, increasing the risk of a pullback or mean-reversion dip.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Quiet
Confidence: 70%
Why this state?
  • TRAC is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.

Trend
Bullish
TRAC is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 55.28, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
TRAC ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.3607 - $0.5738
Active zone
$0.2409 - $0.3466
Support zone
$0.3095 - $0.3394
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
High
Support & Resistance

OriginTrail support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.3095 - $0.3394
Resistance zone
$0.3607 - $0.5738
Active zone
$0.2409 - $0.3466
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.3095 - $0.3394
Resistance 1$0.3607 - $0.5738
Resistance 2$0.5928 - $0.6447
Resistance 3$0.7088 - $0.7387
Resistance 4$0.7485 - $0.8012
Active 1$0.2409 - $0.3466
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

TRAC clears the resistance zone at $0.3607 - $0.5738 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.5928 - $0.6447.

Bearish scenario

TRAC loses the support zone at $0.3095 - $0.3394. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.3095 - $0.3394.

Neutral scenario

TRAC continues trading between $0.3394 and $0.3607. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.3050
Bullish
TRAC is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.3149
Bullish
TRAC remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.3141
Bullish
TRAC is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.3279
Bullish
TRAC is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
55.28
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 55.28, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
69.62
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 69.62, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
0.003454
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
6.78%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.3314
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
78.56
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 78.56, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.0007430
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.0007430, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-47.14
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -47.14, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.01143
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.01143, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
42.30
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 42.30, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.3199
Bullish
TRAC is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.3729
Bearish
TRAC is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to OriginTrail

Over the past 7 days, OriginTrail price was most positively correlated with the price of World Liberty Financial (WLFI), Aster (ASTER), Dash (DASH), Canton (CC) and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) and most negatively correlated with the price of Pi Network (PI), XDC Network (XDC), Beldex (BDX), LEO Token (LEO) and JUST (JST).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial0.818
Image of AsterAster0.719
Image of DashDash0.709
Image of CantonCanton0.683
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.677
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Pi NetworkPi Network-0.218
Image of XDC NetworkXDC Network0.020
Image of BeldexBeldex0.052
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token0.098
Image of JUSTJUST0.128

OriginTrail price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.562, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.511. Currencies that are positively correlated with OriginTrail indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with OriginTrail, a move in one direction for OriginTrail would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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