Image of TRAC
TRACOriginTrail
$0.4613
0.18%
1D

OriginTrail Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into OriginTrail's investment prospects.
7.1

The asset looks technically constructive, but the current entry quality is not perfect.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Price is holding above the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move still has volume-backed support.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Momentum is extended, which raises the risk of chasing.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 88%
Why this state?
  • TRAC is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
TRAC is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Overbought
RSI is 76.60, which points to stretched upside momentum.
Volatility
Volatile
TRAC ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.5968 - $0.6480
Active zone
$0.3535 - $0.5844
Support zone
$0.2356 - $0.3408
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Overbought
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
High
Support & Resistance

OriginTrail support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.2356 - $0.3408
Resistance zone
$0.5968 - $0.6480
Active zone
$0.3535 - $0.5844
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.2356 - $0.3408
Resistance 1$0.5968 - $0.6480
Resistance 2$0.6981 - $0.7947
Resistance 3$0.7972 - $0.8572
Active 1$0.3535 - $0.5844
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

TRAC clears the resistance zone at $0.5968 - $0.6480 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.6981 - $0.7947.

Bearish scenario

TRAC loses the support zone at $0.2356 - $0.3408. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.2356 - $0.3408.

Neutral scenario

TRAC continues trading between $0.3408 and $0.5968. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.3387
Bullish
TRAC is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.3197
Bullish
TRAC remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.3473
Bullish
TRAC is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.3356
Bullish
TRAC is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
76.60
Overbought
RSI (14) is elevated at 76.60, which suggests upside momentum may be getting stretched.
Stoch RSI (14)
100.00
Overbought
Stoch RSI (14) is high at 100.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent upper extreme.
MACD
0.02911
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
8.35%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.3995
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
193.57
Bullish
CCI (20) is strong at 193.57, which shows price is trading well above its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.08412
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.08412, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-24.11
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -24.11, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.06751
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.06751, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
42.34
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 42.34, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.4575
Bullish
TRAC is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.4096
Bullish
TRAC is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to OriginTrail

Over the past 7 days, OriginTrail price was most positively correlated with the price of Stacks (STX), Midnight (NIGHT), Monad (MON), Aave (AAVE) and SPX6900 (SPX) and most negatively correlated with the price of Beldex (BDX), World Liberty Financial (WLFI), Canton (CC), Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) and Dash (DASH).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of StacksStacks0.893
Image of MidnightMidnight0.851
Image of MonadMonad0.810
Image of AaveAave0.740
Image of SPX6900SPX69000.718
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.767
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial-0.762
Image of CantonCanton-0.745
Image of Polygon Ecosystem TokenPolygon Ecosystem Token-0.724
Image of DashDash-0.715

OriginTrail price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.023, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.007. Currencies that are positively correlated with OriginTrail indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with OriginTrail, a move in one direction for OriginTrail would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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