Image of XPL
XPLPlasma
$0.09652
0.94%
1D

Plasma Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Plasma's investment prospects.
4.9

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • Institutional Support Reclaimed: A recent candle wick broke below SMA200 but closed above it while VWMA held, indicating strong buying interest at that level.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Volatile
Confidence: 51%
Why this state?
  • XPL is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Wait for breakout confirmation. Price is still non-directional, but volatility is elevated, so false moves are more common and waiting for a cleaner breakout confirmation is usually the better setup.

Trend
Sideways
XPL is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 50.98, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
XPL ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.09736 - $0.1279
Support zone
$0.07203 - $0.09004
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Plasma support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.07203 - $0.09004
Resistance zone
$0.09736 - $0.1279
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.07203 - $0.09004
Resistance 1$0.09736 - $0.1279
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

XPL clears the resistance zone at $0.09736 - $0.1279 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.09736 - $0.1279.

Bearish scenario

XPL loses the support zone at $0.07203 - $0.09004. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.07203 - $0.09004.

Neutral scenario

XPL continues trading between $0.09004 and $0.09736. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.09061
Bullish
XPL is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.09294
Bullish
XPL remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.09185
Bullish
XPL is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.1167
Bearish
XPL is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
50.98
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 50.98, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
10.25
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 10.25, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
0.002352
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
12.18%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.1010
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-6.48
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -6.48, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.003557
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.003557, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-74.24
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -74.24, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.002745
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.002745, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
38.34
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 38.34, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.09191
Bullish
XPL is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.1007
Bearish
XPL is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Plasma

Over the past 7 days, Plasma price was most positively correlated with the price of Ethereum Classic (ETC), Arbitrum (ARB), Ondo Finance (ONDO), Bitcoin SV (BSV) and Cosmos (ATOM) and most negatively correlated with the price of Midnight (NIGHT), JUST (JST), Aave (AAVE), Curve DAO Token (CRV) and Internet Computer (ICP).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Ethereum ClassicEthereum Classic0.916
Image of ArbitrumArbitrum0.908
Image of Ondo FinanceOndo Finance0.907
Image of Bitcoin SVBitcoin SV0.868
Image of CosmosCosmos0.863
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.659
Image of JUSTJUST-0.603
Image of AaveAave-0.476
Image of Curve DAO TokenCurve DAO Token-0.461
Image of Internet ComputerInternet Computer-0.457

Plasma price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.315, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.308. Currencies that are positively correlated with Plasma indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Plasma, a move in one direction for Plasma would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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