Image of XAU
XAUXAU9999
$0.0₁₁8739
-5.03%
1D

XAU9999 Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into XAU9999's investment prospects.
7.8

The asset still looks technically supportive, with multiple signals continuing to back the setup.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
Main risks
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
  • Price is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which points to weakening short-term momentum.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Quiet
Confidence: 72%
Why this state?
  • XAU is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.

Trend
Bullish
XAU is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 43.26, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
XAU ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0₁₁9474 - $0.0₁₁9761
Active zone
$0.0₁₁8591 - $0.0₁₁9231
Support zone
$0.0₁₁8281 - $0.0₁₁8568
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

XAU9999 support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0₁₁8281 - $0.0₁₁8568
Resistance zone
$0.0₁₁9474 - $0.0₁₁9761
Active zone
$0.0₁₁8591 - $0.0₁₁9231
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0₁₁8281 - $0.0₁₁8568
Support 2$0.0₁₁7237 - $0.0₁₁7596
Support 3$0.0₁₁5916 - $0.0₁₁6981
Resistance 1$0.0₁₁9474 - $0.0₁₁9761
Resistance 2$0.0₁₀1027 - $0.0₁₀1055
Resistance 3$0.0₁₀1193 - $0.0₁₀1221
Resistance 4$0.0₁₀1395 - $0.0₁₀1471
Active 1$0.0₁₁8591 - $0.0₁₁9231
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

XAU clears the resistance zone at $0.0₁₁9474 - $0.0₁₁9761 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0₁₀1027 - $0.0₁₀1055.

Bearish scenario

XAU loses the support zone at $0.0₁₁8281 - $0.0₁₁8568. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0₁₁7237 - $0.0₁₁7596.

Neutral scenario

XAU continues trading between $0.0₁₁8568 and $0.0₁₁9474. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0₁₁8880
Bearish
XAU is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0₁₁8593
Bullish
XAU remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0₁₁9050
Bearish
XAU is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.0₁₀1019
Bearish
XAU is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
43.26
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 43.26, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-1.069e-14
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
3.28%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0₁₁9404
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-259.57
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -259.57, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-1.858e-13
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-1.858e-13, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-97.63
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -97.63.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-3.011e-13
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-3.011e-13, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
28.23
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 28.23, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0₁₁9182
Bearish
XAU is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0₁₀1218
Bearish
XAU is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to XAU9999

Over the past 7 days, XAU9999 price was most positively correlated with the price of Gnosis (GNO), Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET), Litecoin (LTC), Lido DAO Token (LDO) and Ethereum (ETH) and most negatively correlated with the price of APENFT (NFT), JUST (JST), Pendle (PENDLE), World Liberty Financial (WLFI) and Arbitrum (ARB).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of GnosisGnosis0.852
Image of Artificial Superintelligence AllianceArtificial Superintelligence Alliance0.844
Image of LitecoinLitecoin0.831
Image of Lido DAO TokenLido DAO Token0.813
Image of EthereumEthereum0.802
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of APENFTAPENFT-0.591
Image of JUSTJUST-0.298
Image of PendlePendle-0.230
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial-0.112
Image of ArbitrumArbitrum-0.041

XAU9999 price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.395, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.455. Currencies that are positively correlated with XAU9999 indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with XAU9999, a move in one direction for XAU9999 would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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