Image of VAL
VALValidity
$0.5177
0.05%
1D

Validity Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Validity's investment prospects.
6.3

The setup has a mild positive bias, but the reward-to-risk is not clean enough to be aggressive.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Squeeze Breakout Setup: Bollinger Bands are historically compressed and price is above EMA50, suggesting an expansion move may be underway.
Main risks
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Quiet
Confidence: 84%
Why this state?
  • VAL is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.

Trend
Bullish
VAL is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 43.53, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
VAL ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.6065 - $0.7550
Active zone
$0.3564 - $0.5887
Support zone
$0.2624 - $0.3515
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Validity support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.2624 - $0.3515
Resistance zone
$0.6065 - $0.7550
Active zone
$0.3564 - $0.5887
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.2624 - $0.3515
Support 2$0.2163 - $0.2571
Support 3$0.08005 - $0.1208
Resistance 1$0.6065 - $0.7550
Resistance 2$0.7650 - $0.8057
Resistance 3$0.8176 - $0.8646
Resistance 4$0.8755 - $0.9786
Active 1$0.3564 - $0.5887
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

VAL clears the resistance zone at $0.6065 - $0.7550 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.7650 - $0.8057.

Bearish scenario

VAL loses the support zone at $0.2624 - $0.3515. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.2163 - $0.2571.

Neutral scenario

VAL continues trading between $0.3515 and $0.6065. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.5242
Bearish
VAL is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.4063
Bullish
VAL remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.5170
Bullish
VAL is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.4535
Bullish
VAL is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
43.53
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 43.53, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
3.37
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 3.37, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
0.0003618
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
6.06%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.5380
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-266.79
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -266.79, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.0001765
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.0001765, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-76.83
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -76.83, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.02282
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.02282, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
53.62
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 53.62, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.5226
Bearish
VAL is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.5725
Bearish
VAL is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Validity

Over the past 7 days, Validity price was most positively correlated with the price of Raydium (RAY), Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR), BitTorrent (BTT), Nexo (NEXO) and Monad (MON) and most negatively correlated with the price of Hyperliquid (HYPE), LEO Token (LEO), Pi Network (PI), Plasma (XPL) and Pepe Coin (PEPE).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of RaydiumRaydium0.816
Image of Hedera HashgraphHedera Hashgraph0.806
Image of BitTorrentBitTorrent0.792
Image of NexoNexo0.786
Image of MonadMonad0.783
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of HyperliquidHyperliquid-0.676
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.663
Image of Pi NetworkPi Network-0.631
Image of PlasmaPlasma-0.593
Image of Pepe CoinPepe Coin-0.588

Validity price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.574, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.429. Currencies that are positively correlated with Validity indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Validity, a move in one direction for Validity would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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