Image of ULTIMA
ULTIMAUltima
$1,750.97
8.24%
1D

Ultima Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Ultima's investment prospects.
3.7

The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Bollinger Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are at historically narrow levels, signaling a high-energy move is coiling. Watch for a directional break.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 91%
Why this state?
  • ULTIMA is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
ULTIMA is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 21.79, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
ULTIMA ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$1,705.08 - $1,798.85
Support zone
$1,524.02 - $1,617.79
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Ultima support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$1,524.02 - $1,617.79
Resistance zone
$1,705.08 - $1,798.85
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$1,524.02 - $1,617.79
Resistance 1$1,705.08 - $1,798.85
Resistance 2$2,042.36 - $2,142.68
Resistance 3$2,176.34 - $2,285.14
Resistance 4$2,407.23 - $2,479.36
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

ULTIMA clears the resistance zone at $1,705.08 - $1,798.85 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $2,042.36 - $2,142.68.

Bearish scenario

ULTIMA loses the support zone at $1,524.02 - $1,617.79. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $1,524.02 - $1,617.79.

Neutral scenario

ULTIMA continues trading between $1,617.79 and $1,705.08. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$2,085.11
Bearish
ULTIMA is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$2,634.14
Bearish
ULTIMA remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$2,023.31
Bearish
ULTIMA is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$2,817.19
Bearish
ULTIMA is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
21.79
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 21.79, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
8.54
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 8.54, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-114.15
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
4.46%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$1,858.90
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-223.16
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -223.16, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-259.34
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-259.34, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-86.26
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -86.26.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-194.74
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-194.74, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
36.26
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 36.26, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$1,626.62
Bearish
ULTIMA is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$1,877.95
Bearish
ULTIMA is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Ultima

Over the past 7 days, Ultima price was most positively correlated with the price of Aptos (APT), Litecoin (LTC), Optimism (OP), Ethereum Classic (ETC) and Celestia (TIA) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), Pump.fun (PUMP), Curve DAO Token (CRV), Quant (QNT) and Midnight (NIGHT).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of AptosAptos0.890
Image of LitecoinLitecoin0.842
Image of OptimismOptimism0.805
Image of Ethereum ClassicEthereum Classic0.794
Image of CelestiaCelestia0.783
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JUSTJUST-0.793
Image of Pump.funPump.fun-0.767
Image of Curve DAO TokenCurve DAO Token-0.745
Image of QuantQuant-0.714
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.687

Ultima price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.221, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.197. Currencies that are positively correlated with Ultima indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Ultima, a move in one direction for Ultima would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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