Image of TRX
TRXTRON
$0.3366
0.86%
1D

TRON Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into TRON's investment prospects.
6.9

The asset looks technically constructive, but the current entry quality is not perfect.

What is helping
  • High Conviction Breakout: Price recently crossed above the 50-day average and VWMA is confirming, suggesting accumulation-backed momentum.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 88%
Why this state?
  • TRX is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
TRX is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 52.28, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
TRX ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.3455 - $0.3520
Active zone
$0.3195 - $0.3392
Support zone
$0.3097 - $0.3163
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

TRON support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.3097 - $0.3163
Resistance zone
$0.3455 - $0.3520
Active zone
$0.3195 - $0.3392
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.3097 - $0.3163
Support 2$0.2869 - $0.2977
Support 3$0.2736 - $0.2840
Support 4$0.2485 - $0.2550
Resistance 1$0.3455 - $0.3520
Active 1$0.3195 - $0.3392
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

TRX clears the resistance zone at $0.3455 - $0.3520 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.3455 - $0.3520.

Bearish scenario

TRX loses the support zone at $0.3097 - $0.3163. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.2869 - $0.2977.

Neutral scenario

TRX continues trading between $0.3163 and $0.3455. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.3319
Bullish
TRX is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.3247
Bullish
TRX remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.3326
Bullish
TRX is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.3243
Bullish
TRX is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
52.28
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 52.28, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
45.41
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 45.41, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
-0.0002303
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
1.50%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.3365
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-17.18
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -17.18, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.003932
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.003932, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-45.44
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -45.44, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.001111
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.001111, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
48.61
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 48.61, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.3334
Bullish
TRX is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.3357
Bearish
TRX is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to TRON

Over the past 7 days, TRON price was most positively correlated with the price of Sun Token (SUN), Gram (prev. Toncoin) (GRAM), Solana (SOL), VeChain (VET) and Venice Token (VVV) and most negatively correlated with the price of APENFT (NFT), Convex Finance (CVX), Pump.fun (PUMP), Bonk (BONK) and Sky (SKY).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Sun TokenSun Token0.939
Image of Gram (prev. Toncoin)Gram (prev. Toncoin)0.857
Image of SolanaSolana0.848
Image of VeChainVeChain0.831
Image of Venice TokenVenice Token0.767
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of APENFTAPENFT-0.628
Image of Convex FinanceConvex Finance-0.333
Image of Pump.funPump.fun-0.324
Image of BonkBonk-0.292
Image of SkySky-0.281

TRON price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.538, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.477. Currencies that are positively correlated with TRON indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with TRON, a move in one direction for TRON would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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