Image of TRX
TRXTRON
$0.3313
-0.54%
1D

TRON Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into TRON's investment prospects.
4.3

The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Institutional Support Reclaimed: A recent candle wick broke below SMA200 but closed above it while VWMA held, indicating strong buying interest at that level.
Main risks
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 82%
Why this state?
  • TRX is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
TRX is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 46.84, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
TRX ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.3325 - $0.3391
Active zone
$0.3195 - $0.3508
Support zone
$0.3099 - $0.3161
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

TRON support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.3099 - $0.3161
Resistance zone
$0.3325 - $0.3391
Active zone
$0.3195 - $0.3508
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.3099 - $0.3161
Support 2$0.2990 - $0.3029
Support 3$0.2882 - $0.2922
Support 4$0.2749 - $0.2827
Resistance 1$0.3325 - $0.3391
Active 1$0.3195 - $0.3508
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

TRX clears the resistance zone at $0.3325 - $0.3391 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.3325 - $0.3391.

Bearish scenario

TRX loses the support zone at $0.3099 - $0.3161. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.2990 - $0.3029.

Neutral scenario

TRX continues trading between $0.3161 and $0.3325. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.3352
Bearish
TRX is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.3330
Bearish
TRX remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.3343
Bearish
TRX is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.3282
Bullish
TRX is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
46.84
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 46.84, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
73.03
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 73.03, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
-0.001091
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
0.9078%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.3335
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-30.40
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -30.40, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.002879
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.002879, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-44.42
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -44.42, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.00006908
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.00006908, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
43.45
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 43.45, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.3347
Bearish
TRX is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.3358
Bearish
TRX is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to TRON

Over the past 7 days, TRON price was most positively correlated with the price of LEO Token (LEO), Injective (INJ), Celestia (TIA), Monero (XMR) and Basic Attention Token (BAT) and most negatively correlated with the price of Canton (CC), Beldex (BDX), Decred (DCR), BitTorrent (BTT) and Flare (FLR).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token0.719
Image of InjectiveInjective0.697
Image of CelestiaCelestia0.679
Image of MoneroMonero0.657
Image of Basic Attention TokenBasic Attention Token0.441
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of CantonCanton-0.780
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.779
Image of DecredDecred-0.717
Image of BitTorrentBitTorrent-0.686
Image of FlareFlare-0.650

TRON price is negatively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of -0.154, excluding Tether (USDT) and negatively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of -0.322. Currencies that are positively correlated with TRON indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with TRON, a move in one direction for TRON would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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