Image of RUNE
RUNETHORChain
$0.7887
-1.19%
1D

THORChain Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into THORChain's investment prospects.
7.2

The asset looks technically constructive, but the current entry quality is not perfect.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Price is holding above the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move still has volume-backed support.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Momentum is extended, which raises the risk of chasing.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • RUNE is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
RUNE is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Overbought
RSI is 71.14, which points to stretched upside momentum.
Volatility
Volatile
RUNE ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.8023 - $0.8655
Support zone
$0.5160 - $0.6662
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Overbought
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

THORChain support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.5160 - $0.6662
Resistance zone
$0.8023 - $0.8655
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.5160 - $0.6662
Support 2$0.3391 - $0.5082
Resistance 1$0.8023 - $0.8655
Resistance 2$0.9150 - $1.01
Resistance 3$1.07 - $1.15
Resistance 4$1.16 - $1.29
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

RUNE clears the resistance zone at $0.8023 - $0.8655 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.9150 - $1.01.

Bearish scenario

RUNE loses the support zone at $0.5160 - $0.6662. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.3391 - $0.5082.

Neutral scenario

RUNE continues trading between $0.6662 and $0.8023. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.5502
Bullish
RUNE is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.4616
Bullish
RUNE remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.5866
Bullish
RUNE is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.5275
Bullish
RUNE is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
71.14
Overbought
RSI (14) is elevated at 71.14, which suggests upside momentum may be getting stretched.
Stoch RSI (14)
30.65
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 30.65, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
0.07255
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
7.94%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.7303
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
85.60
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 85.60, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.1839
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.1839, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-14.20
Overbought
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the top of its recent range at -14.20.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.05437
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.05437, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
53.73
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 53.73, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.7644
Bullish
RUNE is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.6526
Bullish
RUNE is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to THORChain

Over the past 7 days, THORChain price was most positively correlated with the price of Dogecoin (DOGE), Cosmos (ATOM), Cronos (CRO), NEAR Protocol (NEAR) and Polkadot (DOT) and most negatively correlated with the price of Injective (INJ), LEO Token (LEO), Pyth Network (PYTH), Filecoin (FIL) and Immutable X (IMX).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of DogecoinDogecoin0.714
Image of CosmosCosmos0.674
Image of CronosCronos0.600
Image of NEAR ProtocolNEAR Protocol0.589
Image of PolkadotPolkadot0.585
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of InjectiveInjective-0.336
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.295
Image of Pyth NetworkPyth Network-0.211
Image of FilecoinFilecoin-0.183
Image of Immutable XImmutable X-0.182

THORChain price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.226, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.244. Currencies that are positively correlated with THORChain indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with THORChain, a move in one direction for THORChain would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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