Image of SOVRN
SOVRNSovrun
$0.0006769
0.19%
1D

Sovrun Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Sovrun's investment prospects.
3.8

The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Bollinger Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are at historically narrow levels, signaling a high-energy move is coiling. Watch for a directional break.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • SOVRN is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
SOVRN is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 11.92, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
SOVRN ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0007176 - $0.0007233
Support zone
$0.0006634 - $0.0006769
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Sovrun support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0006634 - $0.0006769
Resistance zone
$0.0007176 - $0.0007233
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0006634 - $0.0006769
Resistance 1$0.0007176 - $0.0007233
Resistance 2$0.0008945 - $0.0009002
Resistance 3$0.0009351 - $0.0009397
Resistance 4$0.001012 - $0.001017
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

SOVRN clears the resistance zone at $0.0007176 - $0.0007233 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0008945 - $0.0009002.

Bearish scenario

SOVRN loses the support zone at $0.0006634 - $0.0006769. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0006634 - $0.0006769.

Neutral scenario

SOVRN continues trading between $0.0006769 and $0.0007176. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0008202
Bearish
SOVRN is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.001732
Bearish
SOVRN remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0008275
Bearish
SOVRN is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.001862
Bearish
SOVRN is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
11.92
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 11.92, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
11.70
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 11.70, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.00002997
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
0.8474%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0007436
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-401.99
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -401.99, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.00004774
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.00004774, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-95.20
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -95.20.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.00005754
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.00005754, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
7.06
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 7.06, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0006974
Bearish
SOVRN is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0007446
Bearish
SOVRN is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Sovrun

Over the past 7 days, Sovrun price was most positively correlated with the price of APENFT (NFT), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Polkadot (DOT), XRP (XRP) and Aster (ASTER) and most negatively correlated with the price of Raydium (RAY), JUST (JST), Injective (INJ), Tezos (XTZ) and Arbitrum (ARB).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of APENFTAPENFT0.856
Image of Bitcoin CashBitcoin Cash0.754
Image of PolkadotPolkadot0.714
Image of XRPXRP0.689
Image of AsterAster0.683
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of RaydiumRaydium-0.497
Image of JUSTJUST-0.474
Image of InjectiveInjective-0.462
Image of TezosTezos-0.424
Image of ArbitrumArbitrum-0.379

Sovrun price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.328, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.303. Currencies that are positively correlated with Sovrun indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Sovrun, a move in one direction for Sovrun would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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