Image of STM
STMSolana Treasury Machine
$0.0₁₃6186
0.00%
1D

Solana Treasury Machine Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Solana Treasury Machine's investment prospects.
5.4

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Stoch RSI is near the lower end of its range, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Volatile
Confidence: 46%
Why this state?
  • STM is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Wait for breakout confirmation. Price is still non-directional, but volatility is elevated, so false moves are more common and waiting for a cleaner breakout confirmation is usually the better setup.

Trend
Sideways
STM is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 12.31, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Volatile
STM ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0₁₃6293 - $0.0₁₃6390
Support zone
$0.0₁₃6016 - $0.0₁₃6113
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Solana Treasury Machine support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0₁₃6016 - $0.0₁₃6113
Resistance zone
$0.0₁₃6293 - $0.0₁₃6390
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0₁₃6016 - $0.0₁₃6113
Support 2$0.0₁₃5890 - $0.0₁₃5993
Support 3$0.0₁₃5518 - $0.0₁₃5614
Support 4$0.0₁₃5276 - $0.0₁₃5465
Resistance 1$0.0₁₃6293 - $0.0₁₃6390
Resistance 2$0.0₁₃7365 - $0.0₁₃7462
Resistance 3$0.0₁₃7866 - $0.0₁₃7963
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

STM clears the resistance zone at $0.0₁₃6293 - $0.0₁₃6390 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0₁₃7365 - $0.0₁₃7462.

Bearish scenario

STM loses the support zone at $0.0₁₃6016 - $0.0₁₃6113. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0₁₃5890 - $0.0₁₃5993.

Neutral scenario

STM continues trading between $0.0₁₃6113 and $0.0₁₃6293. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0₁₃6881
Bearish
STM is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0₁₃5503
Bullish
STM remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0₁₃6840
Bearish
STM is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.0₁₃6128
Bullish
STM is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
12.31
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 12.31, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-5.683e-16
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
1.57%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0₁₃7411
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-398.19
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -398.19, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-2.666e-15
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-2.666e-15, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-90.42
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -90.42.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-8.926e-15
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-8.926e-15, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
9.58
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 9.58, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0₁₃6540
Bearish
STM is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0₁₃6735
Bearish
STM is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Solana Treasury Machine

Over the past 7 days, Solana Treasury Machine price was most positively correlated with the price of APENFT (NFT), Convex Finance (CVX), Sun Token (SUN), Sky (SKY) and JUST (JST) and most negatively correlated with the price of Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Dash (DASH), Hyperliquid (HYPE), SPX6900 (SPX) and LEO Token (LEO).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of APENFTAPENFT0.631
Image of Convex FinanceConvex Finance0.597
Image of Sun TokenSun Token0.588
Image of SkySky0.564
Image of JUSTJUST0.549
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Bitcoin CashBitcoin Cash-0.635
Image of DashDash-0.598
Image of HyperliquidHyperliquid-0.551
Image of SPX6900SPX6900-0.532
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.531

Solana Treasury Machine price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.160, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.157. Currencies that are positively correlated with Solana Treasury Machine indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Solana Treasury Machine, a move in one direction for Solana Treasury Machine would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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