The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.
In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.
Smudge Lord support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.
| Level | Zone | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| Support 1 | $0.0₉1975 - $0.0₉1994 | |
| Support 2 | $0.0₉1931 - $0.0₉1949 | |
| Support 3 | $0.0₉1876 - $0.0₉1895 | |
| Support 4 | $0.0₉1845 - $0.0₉1864 | |
| Resistance 1 | $0.0₉2027 - $0.0₉2060 | |
| Resistance 2 | $0.0₉2193 - $0.0₉2229 | |
| Resistance 3 | $0.0₉2385 - $0.0₉2416 | |
| Resistance 4 | $0.0₉2451 - $0.0₉2471 |
SMUDGE clears the resistance zone at $0.0₉2027 - $0.0₉2060 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0₉2193 - $0.0₉2229.
SMUDGE loses the support zone at $0.0₉1975 - $0.0₉1994. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0₉1931 - $0.0₉1949.
SMUDGE continues trading between $0.0₉1994 and $0.0₉2027. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.
Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.
| Indicator | Value | Signal | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA50 | $0.0₉2088 | Bearish | SMUDGE is trading below the 50-day average. |
| SMA200 | $0.0₉1786 | Bullish | SMUDGE remains above the long-term trend line. |
| EMA50 | $0.0₉2032 | Bearish | SMUDGE is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend. |
| EMA200 | $0.0₉1970 | Bullish | SMUDGE is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive. |
| RSI (14) | 29.25 | Oversold | RSI (14) is depressed at 29.25, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted. |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 14.59 | Oversold | Stoch RSI (14) is low at 14.59, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme. |
| MACD | -2.749e-12 | Bearish | MACD is below its signal line. |
| ATR | 0.7235% | Volatile | Volatility is above its 180-day median. |
| VWMA | $0.0₉2085 | Bearish | Price is below the volume-weighted average. |
| Commodity Channel Index (20) | -53.11 | Neutral | CCI (20) is at -53.11, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average. |
| Awesome Oscillator (5, 34) | $-9.944e-12 | Bearish | Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-9.944e-12, which supports bearish momentum. |
| Williams Percent Range (14) | -83.65 | Oversold | Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -83.65. |
| Bull Bear Power (13) | $-2.038e-12 | Bearish | Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-2.038e-12, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline. |
| Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28) | 7.26 | Oversold | Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 7.26, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched. |
| Hull Moving Average (9) | $0.0₉2013 | Bullish | SMUDGE is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend. |
| Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26) | $0.0₉2094 | Bearish | SMUDGE is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure. |
Over the past 7 days, Smudge Lord price was most positively correlated with the price of Decred (DCR), TRON (TRX), Gnosis (GNO), JUST (JST) and Quant (QNT) and most negatively correlated with the price of Celestia (TIA), StarkNet (STRK), Aerodrome Finance (AERO), Conflux (CFX) and Aptos (APT).
| Name | Correlation |
|---|---|
| Decred | 0.776 |
| TRON | 0.663 |
| Gnosis | 0.568 |
| JUST | 0.555 |
| Quant | 0.514 |
| Name | Correlation |
|---|---|
| Celestia | -0.932 |
| StarkNet | -0.922 |
| Aerodrome Finance | -0.912 |
| Conflux | -0.909 |
| Aptos | -0.747 |
Smudge Lord price is negatively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of -0.135, excluding Tether (USDT) and negatively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of -0.002. Currencies that are positively correlated with Smudge Lord indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Smudge Lord, a move in one direction for Smudge Lord would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.
