The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.
In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.
Smudge Lord support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.
| Level | Zone | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| Support 1 | $0.0₉1527 - $0.0₉1591 | |
| Support 2 | $0.0₉1409 - $0.0₉1434 | |
| Support 3 | $0.0₉1345 - $0.0₉1371 | |
| Resistance 1 | $0.0₉1619 - $0.0₉1645 | |
| Resistance 2 | $0.0₉1684 - $0.0₉1717 | |
| Resistance 3 | $0.0₉1739 - $0.0₉1774 | |
| Resistance 4 | $0.0₉1779 - $0.0₉1804 |
SMUDGE clears the resistance zone at $0.0₉1619 - $0.0₉1645 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0₉1684 - $0.0₉1717.
SMUDGE loses the support zone at $0.0₉1527 - $0.0₉1591. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0₉1409 - $0.0₉1434.
SMUDGE continues trading between $0.0₉1591 and $0.0₉1619. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.
Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.
| Indicator | Value | Signal | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA50 | $0.0₉1986 | Bearish | SMUDGE is trading below the 50-day average. |
| SMA200 | $0.0₉1790 | Bearish | SMUDGE remains below the long-term trend line. |
| EMA50 | $0.0₉1901 | Bearish | SMUDGE is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend. |
| EMA200 | $0.0₉1941 | Bearish | SMUDGE is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure. |
| RSI (14) | 4.27 | Oversold | RSI (14) is depressed at 4.27, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted. |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 0.00 | Oversold | Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme. |
| MACD | -7.438e-12 | Bearish | MACD is below its signal line. |
| ATR | 1.24% | Volatile | Volatility is above its 180-day median. |
| VWMA | $0.0₉1920 | Bearish | Price is below the volume-weighted average. |
| Commodity Channel Index (20) | -234.38 | Bearish | CCI (20) is weak at -234.38, which shows price is trading well below its recent average. |
| Awesome Oscillator (5, 34) | $-1.485e-11 | Bearish | Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-1.485e-11, which supports bearish momentum. |
| Williams Percent Range (14) | -98.29 | Oversold | Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -98.29. |
| Bull Bear Power (13) | $-9.332e-12 | Bearish | Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-9.332e-12, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline. |
| Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28) | 9.30 | Oversold | Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 9.30, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched. |
| Hull Moving Average (9) | $0.0₉1714 | Bearish | SMUDGE is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend. |
| Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26) | $0.0₉1802 | Bearish | SMUDGE is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure. |
Over the past 7 days, Smudge Lord price was most positively correlated with the price of BitTorrent (BTT), GateToken (GT), Binance Coin (BNB), Bitcoin (BTC) and Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), Jupiter (JUP), Internet Computer (ICP), Monad (MON) and Midnight (NIGHT).
| Name | Correlation |
|---|---|
| BitTorrent | 0.860 |
| GateToken | 0.848 |
| Binance Coin | 0.780 |
| Bitcoin | 0.766 |
| Hedera Hashgraph | 0.738 |
| Name | Correlation |
|---|---|
| JUST | -0.609 |
| Jupiter | -0.433 |
| Internet Computer | -0.399 |
| Monad | -0.335 |
| Midnight | -0.316 |
Smudge Lord price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.341, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.377. Currencies that are positively correlated with Smudge Lord indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Smudge Lord, a move in one direction for Smudge Lord would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.
