Image of XPM
XPMPrimecoin
$0.01979
1.78%
1D

Primecoin Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Primecoin's investment prospects.
4.0

The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Volatile
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • XPM is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.

Trend
Bearish
XPM is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 43.70, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
XPM ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.02150 - $0.02555
Support zone
$0.01547 - $0.01955
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Primecoin support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.01547 - $0.01955
Resistance zone
$0.02150 - $0.02555
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.01547 - $0.01955
Resistance 1$0.02150 - $0.02555
Resistance 2$0.02937 - $0.05254
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

XPM clears the resistance zone at $0.02150 - $0.02555 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.02937 - $0.05254.

Bearish scenario

XPM loses the support zone at $0.01547 - $0.01955. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.01547 - $0.01955.

Neutral scenario

XPM continues trading between $0.01955 and $0.02150. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.02850
Bearish
XPM is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.02913
Bearish
XPM remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.02680
Bearish
XPM is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.02932
Bearish
XPM is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
43.70
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 43.70, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
18.30
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 18.30, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.002852
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
15.70%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.02099
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-103.18
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -103.18, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.008331
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.008331, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-85.01
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -85.01.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.003591
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.003591, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
38.83
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 38.83, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.01902
Bullish
XPM is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.03270
Bearish
XPM is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Primecoin

Over the past 7 days, Primecoin price was most positively correlated with the price of Quant (QNT), Raydium (RAY), Decred (DCR), Cronos (CRO) and Hyperliquid (HYPE) and most negatively correlated with the price of Basic Attention Token (BAT), Optimism (OP), World Liberty Financial (WLFI), Injective (INJ) and LEO Token (LEO).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of QuantQuant0.575
Image of RaydiumRaydium0.521
Image of DecredDecred0.493
Image of CronosCronos0.465
Image of HyperliquidHyperliquid0.462
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Basic Attention TokenBasic Attention Token-0.665
Image of OptimismOptimism-0.658
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial-0.645
Image of InjectiveInjective-0.522
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.483

Primecoin price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.013, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.147. Currencies that are positively correlated with Primecoin indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Primecoin, a move in one direction for Primecoin would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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