Image of NCT
NCTPolySwarm
$0.009990
-0.55%
1D

PolySwarm Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into PolySwarm's investment prospects.
7.5

The asset looks technically constructive, but the current entry quality is not perfect.

What is helping
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
  • Stoch RSI is near the lower end of its range, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • NCT is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
NCT is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 51.14, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
NCT ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.01160 - $0.01417
Support zone
$0.003521 - $0.008573
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

PolySwarm support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.003521 - $0.008573
Resistance zone
$0.01160 - $0.01417
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.003521 - $0.008573
Resistance 1$0.01160 - $0.01417
Resistance 2$0.01436 - $0.01729
Resistance 3$0.01818 - $0.02384
Resistance 4$0.02387 - $0.02648
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

NCT clears the resistance zone at $0.01160 - $0.01417 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.01436 - $0.01729.

Bearish scenario

NCT loses the support zone at $0.003521 - $0.008573. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.003521 - $0.008573.

Neutral scenario

NCT continues trading between $0.008573 and $0.01160. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.007201
Bullish
NCT is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.006689
Bullish
NCT remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.008363
Bullish
NCT is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.007719
Bullish
NCT is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
51.14
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 51.14, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
0.001000
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
11.50%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.01527
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-38.67
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -38.67, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.002395
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.002395, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-97.74
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -97.74.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.0006874
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.0006874, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
24.05
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 24.05, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.009940
Bullish
NCT is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.01584
Bearish
NCT is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to PolySwarm

Over the past 7 days, PolySwarm price was most positively correlated with the price of Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR), Aster (ASTER), Ethena (ENA) and Flare (FLR) and most negatively correlated with the price of BitTorrent (BTT), Raydium (RAY), Venice Token (VVV), Tezos (XTZ) and TRON (TRX).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.896
Image of Hedera HashgraphHedera Hashgraph0.888
Image of AsterAster0.881
Image of EthenaEthena0.868
Image of FlareFlare0.864
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BitTorrentBitTorrent-0.870
Image of RaydiumRaydium-0.816
Image of Venice TokenVenice Token-0.789
Image of TezosTezos-0.784
Image of TRONTRON-0.750

PolySwarm price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.404, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.413. Currencies that are positively correlated with PolySwarm indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with PolySwarm, a move in one direction for PolySwarm would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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