Image of NVC
NVCNovacoin
$0.01243
-2.47%
1D

Novacoin Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Novacoin's investment prospects.
4.0

The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Stoch RSI is near the lower end of its range, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Volatile
Confidence: 68%
Why this state?
  • NVC is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.

Trend
Bearish
NVC is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 26.49, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Volatile
NVC ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.01293 - $0.02137
Support zone
$0.01124 - $0.01219
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Novacoin support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.01124 - $0.01219
Resistance zone
$0.01293 - $0.02137
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.01124 - $0.01219
Resistance 1$0.01293 - $0.02137
Resistance 2$0.02324 - $0.02978
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

NVC clears the resistance zone at $0.01293 - $0.02137 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.02324 - $0.02978.

Bearish scenario

NVC loses the support zone at $0.01124 - $0.01219. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.01124 - $0.01219.

Neutral scenario

NVC continues trading between $0.01219 and $0.01293. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.01726
Bearish
NVC is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.01712
Bearish
NVC remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.01632
Bearish
NVC is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.01721
Bearish
NVC is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
26.49
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 26.49, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.001090
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
6.01%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.01452
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-167.61
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -167.61, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.002336
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.002336, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-96.92
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -96.92.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.001988
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.001988, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
38.54
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 38.54, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.01295
Bearish
NVC is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.01451
Bearish
NVC is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Novacoin

Over the past 7 days, Novacoin price was most positively correlated with the price of Ondo Finance (ONDO), Ethena (ENA), Binance Coin (BNB), Lido DAO Token (LDO) and Bitcoin (BTC) and most negatively correlated with the price of Midnight (NIGHT), Beldex (BDX), Jupiter (JUP), BTSE Token (BTSE) and JUST (JST).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Ondo FinanceOndo Finance0.935
Image of EthenaEthena0.933
Image of Binance CoinBinance Coin0.926
Image of Lido DAO TokenLido DAO Token0.922
Image of BitcoinBitcoin0.917
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.617
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.424
Image of JupiterJupiter-0.224
Image of BTSE TokenBTSE Token-0.148
Image of JUSTJUST-0.075

Novacoin price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.788, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.733. Currencies that are positively correlated with Novacoin indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Novacoin, a move in one direction for Novacoin would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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