Image of KSM
KSMKusama
$3.00
-0.62%
1D

Kusama Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Kusama's investment prospects.
3.7

The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.

What is helping
  • Bollinger Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are at historically narrow levels, signaling a high-energy move is coiling. Watch for a directional break.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 66%
Why this state?
  • KSM is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
KSM is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 29.29, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
KSM ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$3.10 - $3.51
Support zone
$2.74 - $2.99
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Kusama support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$2.74 - $2.99
Resistance zone
$3.10 - $3.51
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$2.74 - $2.99
Resistance 1$3.10 - $3.51
Resistance 2$3.74 - $4.12
Resistance 3$4.17 - $4.51
Resistance 4$4.55 - $4.73
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

KSM clears the resistance zone at $3.10 - $3.51 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $3.74 - $4.12.

Bearish scenario

KSM loses the support zone at $2.74 - $2.99. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $2.74 - $2.99.

Neutral scenario

KSM continues trading between $2.99 and $3.10. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$4.19
Bearish
KSM is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$3.91
Bearish
KSM remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$3.81
Bearish
KSM is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$4.33
Bearish
KSM is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
29.29
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 29.29, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
56.54
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 56.54, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
-0.3023
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
5.74%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$3.44
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-116.28
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -116.28, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.7552
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.7552, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-88.08
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -88.08.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.2415
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.2415, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
40.87
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 40.87, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$3.04
Bullish
KSM is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$3.66
Bearish
KSM is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Kusama

Over the past 7 days, Kusama price was most positively correlated with the price of Filecoin (FIL), Conflux (CFX), Cardano (ADA), Terra Classic (LUNC) and Worldcoin (WLD) and most negatively correlated with the price of Midnight (NIGHT), JUST (JST), Jupiter (JUP), World Liberty Financial (WLFI) and Internet Computer (ICP).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of FilecoinFilecoin0.976
Image of ConfluxConflux0.971
Image of CardanoCardano0.960
Image of Terra ClassicTerra Classic0.956
Image of WorldcoinWorldcoin0.955
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.639
Image of JUSTJUST-0.518
Image of JupiterJupiter-0.448
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial-0.408
Image of Internet ComputerInternet Computer-0.368

Kusama price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.662, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.689. Currencies that are positively correlated with Kusama indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Kusama, a move in one direction for Kusama would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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