Image of COW
COWCoW Protocol
$0.1249
1.44%
1D

CoW Protocol Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into CoW Protocol's investment prospects.
6.8

The setup has a mild positive bias, but the reward-to-risk is not clean enough to be aggressive.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which suggests the broader structure is weakening.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Volatile
Confidence: 56%
Why this state?
  • COW is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Wait for breakout confirmation. Price is still non-directional, but volatility is elevated, so false moves are more common and waiting for a cleaner breakout confirmation is usually the better setup.

Trend
Sideways
COW is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 54.65, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
COW ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.2736 - $0.3098
Active zone
$0.1189 - $0.2728
Support zone
$0.08832 - $0.1102
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

CoW Protocol support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.08832 - $0.1102
Resistance zone
$0.2736 - $0.3098
Active zone
$0.1189 - $0.2728
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.08832 - $0.1102
Resistance 1$0.2736 - $0.3098
Resistance 2$0.3101 - $0.3892
Resistance 3$0.3955 - $0.4300
Resistance 4$0.4561 - $0.5080
Active 1$0.1189 - $0.2728
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

COW clears the resistance zone at $0.2736 - $0.3098 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.3101 - $0.3892.

Bearish scenario

COW loses the support zone at $0.08832 - $0.1102. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.08832 - $0.1102.

Neutral scenario

COW continues trading between $0.1102 and $0.2736. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.1218
Bullish
COW is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.1707
Bearish
COW remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.1228
Bullish
COW is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.1636
Bearish
COW is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
54.65
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 54.65, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
40.42
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 40.42, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
0.0004974
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
13.67%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.1221
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
53.95
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 53.95, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.005685
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.005685, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-76.00
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -76.00, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.002953
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.002953, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
39.70
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 39.70, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.1217
Bullish
COW is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.1440
Bearish
COW is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to CoW Protocol

Over the past 7 days, CoW Protocol price was most positively correlated with the price of Sky (SKY), Aster (ASTER), Mantle (MNT), Trust Wallet Token (TWT) and Internet Computer (ICP) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), KuCoin Token (KCS), APENFT (NFT), Flare (FLR) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of SkySky0.609
Image of AsterAster0.580
Image of MantleMantle0.563
Image of Trust Wallet TokenTrust Wallet Token0.563
Image of Internet ComputerInternet Computer0.540
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JUSTJUST-0.518
Image of KuCoin TokenKuCoin Token-0.485
Image of APENFTAPENFT-0.439
Image of FlareFlare-0.437
Image of Bitcoin CashBitcoin Cash-0.406

CoW Protocol price is negatively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of -0.132, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.022. Currencies that are positively correlated with CoW Protocol indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with CoW Protocol, a move in one direction for CoW Protocol would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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