Image of AVAX
AVAXAvalanche
$8.56
-2.37%
1D

Avalanche Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Avalanche's investment prospects.
5.3

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Stoch RSI is near the lower end of its range, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Volatile
Confidence: 43%
Why this state?
  • AVAX is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Wait for breakout confirmation. Price is still non-directional, but volatility is elevated, so false moves are more common and waiting for a cleaner breakout confirmation is usually the better setup.

Trend
Sideways
AVAX is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 29.41, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Volatile
AVAX ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$8.62 - $9.24
Active zone
$8.02 - $8.59
Support zone
$7.43 - $8.00
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Avalanche support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$7.43 - $8.00
Resistance zone
$8.62 - $9.24
Active zone
$8.02 - $8.59
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$7.43 - $8.00
Support 2$6.78 - $7.35
Support 3$5.92 - $6.49
Resistance 1$8.62 - $9.24
Resistance 2$9.59 - $10.16
Resistance 3$10.21 - $10.78
Resistance 4$10.98 - $11.55
Active 1$8.02 - $8.59
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

AVAX clears the resistance zone at $8.62 - $9.24 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $9.59 - $10.16.

Bearish scenario

AVAX loses the support zone at $7.43 - $8.00. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $6.78 - $7.35.

Neutral scenario

AVAX continues trading between $8.00 and $8.62. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$9.75
Bearish
AVAX is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$8.17
Bullish
AVAX remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$9.39
Bearish
AVAX is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$9.11
Bearish
AVAX is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
29.41
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 29.41, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.3712
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
5.30%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$9.71
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-132.74
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -132.74, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-1.32
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-1.32, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-100.00
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -100.00.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.5197
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.5197, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
43.98
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 43.98, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$8.70
Bearish
AVAX is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$9.98
Bearish
AVAX is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Avalanche

Over the past 7 days, Avalanche price was most positively correlated with the price of Optimism (OP), Solana (SOL), Stellar (XLM), Algorand (ALGO) and Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) and most negatively correlated with the price of LEO Token (LEO), Quant (QNT), SPX6900 (SPX), Aster (ASTER) and Dash (DASH).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of OptimismOptimism0.948
Image of SolanaSolana0.941
Image of StellarStellar0.940
Image of AlgorandAlgorand0.936
Image of Virtuals ProtocolVirtuals Protocol0.931
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.161
Image of QuantQuant-0.154
Image of SPX6900SPX6900-0.142
Image of AsterAster-0.091
Image of DashDash-0.079

Avalanche price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.665, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.674. Currencies that are positively correlated with Avalanche indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Avalanche, a move in one direction for Avalanche would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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