Image of AVAX
AVAXAvalanche
$7.33
0.63%
1D

Avalanche Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Avalanche's investment prospects.
8.0

The asset still looks technically supportive, with multiple signals continuing to back the setup.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which points to weakening short-term momentum.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 70%
Why this state?
  • AVAX is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
AVAX is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 58.09, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
AVAX ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$7.46 - $7.97
Support zone
$6.71 - $7.27
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Avalanche support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$6.71 - $7.27
Resistance zone
$7.46 - $7.97
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$6.71 - $7.27
Support 2$5.95 - $6.47
Resistance 1$7.46 - $7.97
Resistance 2$8.00 - $9.21
Resistance 3$9.44 - $10.13
Resistance 4$10.24 - $10.75
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

AVAX clears the resistance zone at $7.46 - $7.97 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $8.00 - $9.21.

Bearish scenario

AVAX loses the support zone at $6.71 - $7.27. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $5.95 - $6.47.

Neutral scenario

AVAX continues trading between $7.27 and $7.46. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$6.67
Bullish
AVAX is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$8.13
Bearish
AVAX remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$6.88
Bullish
AVAX is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$8.83
Bearish
AVAX is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
58.09
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 58.09, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
41.75
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 41.75, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
0.2636
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
5.41%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$7.12
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
61.64
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 61.64, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.7047
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.7047, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-48.06
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -48.06, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.1886
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.1886, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
46.62
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 46.62, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$7.40
Bearish
AVAX is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$7.23
Bullish
AVAX is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to Avalanche

Over the past 7 days, Avalanche price was most positively correlated with the price of Shiba Inu (SHIB), Bonk (BONK), Floki Inu (FLOKI), XRP (XRP) and Pepe Coin (PEPE) and most negatively correlated with the price of Trust Wallet Token (TWT), Monero (XMR), SPX6900 (SPX), Stacks (STX) and VeChain (VET).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Shiba InuShiba Inu0.957
Image of BonkBonk0.936
Image of Floki InuFloki Inu0.932
Image of XRPXRP0.927
Image of Pepe CoinPepe Coin0.921
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Trust Wallet TokenTrust Wallet Token-0.437
Image of MoneroMonero-0.396
Image of SPX6900SPX6900-0.393
Image of StacksStacks-0.386
Image of VeChainVeChain-0.249

Avalanche price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.611, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.515. Currencies that are positively correlated with Avalanche indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Avalanche, a move in one direction for Avalanche would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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