Image of ALPACA
ALPACAAlpaca
$0.0007723
1.91%
1D

Alpaca Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Alpaca's investment prospects.
6.9

The asset looks technically constructive, but the current entry quality is not perfect.

What is helping
  • Squeeze Breakout Setup: Bollinger Bands are historically compressed and price is above EMA50, suggesting an expansion move may be underway.
  • Volatility is relatively contained right now, which supports a cleaner trading environment.
Main risks
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
  • Price is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which points to weakening short-term momentum.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Quiet
Confidence: 78%
Why this state?
  • ALPACA is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.

Trend
Bullish
ALPACA is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 49.66, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
ALPACA ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0007764 - $0.0008316
Support zone
$0.0005695 - $0.0007436
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Alpaca support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0005695 - $0.0007436
Resistance zone
$0.0007764 - $0.0008316
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0005695 - $0.0007436
Support 2$0.0004966 - $0.0005525
Support 3$0.0004192 - $0.0004744
Resistance 1$0.0007764 - $0.0008316
Resistance 2$0.0008727 - $0.0009404
Resistance 3$0.002453 - $0.002542
Resistance 4$0.004956 - $0.005011
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

ALPACA clears the resistance zone at $0.0007764 - $0.0008316 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0008727 - $0.0009404.

Bearish scenario

ALPACA loses the support zone at $0.0005695 - $0.0007436. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0004966 - $0.0005525.

Neutral scenario

ALPACA continues trading between $0.0007436 and $0.0007764. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0007339
Bullish
ALPACA is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0006999
Bullish
ALPACA remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0007290
Bullish
ALPACA is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.002677
Bearish
ALPACA is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
49.66
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 49.66, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
0.00001162
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
5.60%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0007726
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-31.81
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -31.81, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.0₅9966
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.0₅9966, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-50.11
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -50.11, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.000004328
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.000004328, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
54.18
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 54.18, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0007694
Bearish
ALPACA is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0008059
Bearish
ALPACA is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Alpaca

Over the past 7 days, Alpaca price was most positively correlated with the price of Gnosis (GNO), Tezos (XTZ), SPX6900 (SPX), StarkNet (STRK) and World Liberty Financial (WLFI) and most negatively correlated with the price of Raydium (RAY), LayerZero (ZRO), Beldex (BDX), Litecoin (LTC) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of GnosisGnosis0.824
Image of TezosTezos0.789
Image of SPX6900SPX69000.696
Image of StarkNetStarkNet0.679
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial0.596
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of RaydiumRaydium-0.712
Image of LayerZeroLayerZero-0.694
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.583
Image of LitecoinLitecoin-0.576
Image of Bitcoin CashBitcoin Cash-0.565

Alpaca price is negatively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of -0.051, excluding Tether (USDT) and negatively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of -0.076. Currencies that are positively correlated with Alpaca indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Alpaca, a move in one direction for Alpaca would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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