Image of ALPH
ALPHAlephium
$0.04825
-13.86%
1D

Alephium Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Alephium's investment prospects.
5.3

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Stoch RSI is near the lower end of its range, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Volatile
Confidence: 47%
Why this state?
  • ALPH is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Wait for breakout confirmation. Price is still non-directional, but volatility is elevated, so false moves are more common and waiting for a cleaner breakout confirmation is usually the better setup.

Trend
Sideways
ALPH is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 31.57, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
ALPH ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.06976 - $0.08297
Active zone
$0.02244 - $0.06426
Support zone
$0.04257 - $0.04919
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Alephium support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.04257 - $0.04919
Resistance zone
$0.06976 - $0.08297
Active zone
$0.02244 - $0.06426
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.04257 - $0.04919
Resistance 1$0.06976 - $0.08297
Resistance 2$0.08760 - $0.09422
Resistance 3$0.09645 - $0.1067
Resistance 4$0.1133 - $0.1257
Active 1$0.02244 - $0.06426
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

ALPH clears the resistance zone at $0.06976 - $0.08297 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.08760 - $0.09422.

Bearish scenario

ALPH loses the support zone at $0.04257 - $0.04919. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.04257 - $0.04919.

Neutral scenario

ALPH continues trading between $0.04919 and $0.06976. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.05960
Bearish
ALPH is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.04697
Bullish
ALPH remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.05830
Bearish
ALPH is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.06178
Bearish
ALPH is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
31.57
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 31.57, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.002181
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
10.35%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.06446
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-156.68
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -156.68, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.008291
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.008291, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-94.27
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -94.27.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.007210
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.007210, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
34.65
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 34.65, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.05301
Bearish
ALPH is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.06931
Bearish
ALPH is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Alephium

Over the past 7 days, Alephium price was most positively correlated with the price of StarkNet (STRK), TRON (TRX), Kaia (KAIA), Filecoin (FIL) and Celestia (TIA) and most negatively correlated with the price of Convex Finance (CVX), JUST (JST), Pepe Coin (PEPE), Venice Token (VVV) and BitTorrent (BTT).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of StarkNetStarkNet0.891
Image of TRONTRON0.880
Image of KaiaKaia0.805
Image of FilecoinFilecoin0.793
Image of CelestiaCelestia0.781
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Convex FinanceConvex Finance-0.827
Image of JUSTJUST-0.813
Image of Pepe CoinPepe Coin-0.803
Image of Venice TokenVenice Token-0.781
Image of BitTorrentBitTorrent-0.770

Alephium price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.249, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.011. Currencies that are positively correlated with Alephium indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Alephium, a move in one direction for Alephium would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

The CoinCheckup Cryptocurrency Price Tracker
Track over 40,000 crypto prices in real-time with ease.
Google Play Store link
4.3 • 10,000+ Ratings
Image of mobile app