Image of ETC
ETCEthereum Classic
$7.80
-0.79%
1D

Ethereum Classic Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Ethereum Classic's investment prospects.
6.8

The setup has a mild positive bias, but the reward-to-risk is not clean enough to be aggressive.

What is helping
  • Institutional Support Reclaimed: A recent candle wick broke below SMA200 but closed above it while VWMA held, indicating strong buying interest at that level.
  • Volatility is relatively contained right now, which supports a cleaner trading environment.
Main risks
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
  • Price is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which points to weakening short-term momentum.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Quiet
Confidence: 66%
Why this state?
  • ETC is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.

Trend
Bullish
ETC is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 39.40, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
ETC ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$8.84 - $9.44
Active zone
$7.04 - $8.39
Support zone
$5.97 - $6.96
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Ethereum Classic support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$5.97 - $6.96
Resistance zone
$8.84 - $9.44
Active zone
$7.04 - $8.39
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$5.97 - $6.96
Resistance 1$8.84 - $9.44
Resistance 2$9.52 - $10.28
Resistance 3$12.59 - $13.08
Resistance 4$13.31 - $13.91
Active 1$7.04 - $8.39
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

ETC clears the resistance zone at $8.84 - $9.44 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $9.52 - $10.28.

Bearish scenario

ETC loses the support zone at $5.97 - $6.96. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $5.97 - $6.96.

Neutral scenario

ETC continues trading between $6.96 and $8.84. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$8.32
Bearish
ETC is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$7.86
Bullish
ETC remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$8.24
Bearish
ETC is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$8.46
Bearish
ETC is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
39.40
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 39.40, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.1447
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
4.42%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$8.60
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-108.30
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -108.30, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.5592
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.5592, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-83.33
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -83.33.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.3449
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.3449, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
49.65
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 49.65, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$7.90
Bearish
ETC is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$8.87
Bearish
ETC is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Ethereum Classic

Over the past 7 days, Ethereum Classic price was most positively correlated with the price of Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL), Solana (SOL), Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Litecoin (LTC) and The Graph (GRT) and most negatively correlated with the price of LEO Token (LEO), Monero (XMR), Basic Attention Token (BAT), TRON (TRX) and Pyth Network (PYTH).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Virtuals ProtocolVirtuals Protocol0.988
Image of SolanaSolana0.983
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.982
Image of LitecoinLitecoin0.981
Image of The GraphThe Graph0.980
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.746
Image of MoneroMonero-0.503
Image of Basic Attention TokenBasic Attention Token-0.450
Image of TRONTRON-0.396
Image of Pyth NetworkPyth Network-0.226

Ethereum Classic price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.720, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.756. Currencies that are positively correlated with Ethereum Classic indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Ethereum Classic, a move in one direction for Ethereum Classic would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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