Image of UGLYDOG
UGLYDOGUgly Dog
$0.00004664
0.00%
1D

Ugly Dog Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Ugly Dog's investment prospects.
4.0

The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 74%
Why this state?
  • UGLYDOG is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
UGLYDOG is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 21.85, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
UGLYDOG ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.00004695 - $0.00004865
Support zone
$0.00004408 - $0.00004571
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Ugly Dog support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.00004408 - $0.00004571
Resistance zone
$0.00004695 - $0.00004865
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.00004408 - $0.00004571
Support 2$0.00004189 - $0.00004305
Resistance 1$0.00004695 - $0.00004865
Resistance 2$0.00004978 - $0.00005064
Resistance 3$0.00005208 - $0.00005293
Resistance 4$0.00005325 - $0.00005410
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

UGLYDOG clears the resistance zone at $0.00004695 - $0.00004865 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.00004978 - $0.00005064.

Bearish scenario

UGLYDOG loses the support zone at $0.00004408 - $0.00004571. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.00004189 - $0.00004305.

Neutral scenario

UGLYDOG continues trading between $0.00004571 and $0.00004695. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.00005646
Bearish
UGLYDOG is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.00004880
Bearish
UGLYDOG remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.00005318
Bearish
UGLYDOG is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.00005863
Bearish
UGLYDOG is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
21.85
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 21.85, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
23.10
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 23.10, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
-0.000003059
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
1.84%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.00005130
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-95.92
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -95.92, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.000009230
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.000009230, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-81.83
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -81.83.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.000001707
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.000001707, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
42.59
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 42.59, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.00004613
Bullish
UGLYDOG is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.00005652
Bearish
UGLYDOG is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Ugly Dog

Over the past 7 days, Ugly Dog price was most positively correlated with the price of Decred (DCR), NEAR Protocol (NEAR), Mantle (MNT), Pump.fun (PUMP) and Polkadot (DOT) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), Beldex (BDX), LEO Token (LEO), Dash (DASH) and Binance Coin (BNB).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of DecredDecred0.878
Image of NEAR ProtocolNEAR Protocol0.857
Image of MantleMantle0.845
Image of Pump.funPump.fun0.836
Image of PolkadotPolkadot0.833
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JUSTJUST-0.512
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.104
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token0.031
Image of DashDash0.065
Image of Binance CoinBinance Coin0.144

Ugly Dog price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.664, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.632. Currencies that are positively correlated with Ugly Dog indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Ugly Dog, a move in one direction for Ugly Dog would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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