Image of HAT
HATTop Hat
$0.00005354
-1.29%
1D

Top Hat Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Top Hat's investment prospects.
5.0

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Volatility is relatively contained right now, which supports a cleaner trading environment.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 83%
Why this state?
  • HAT is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
HAT is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 24.34, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
HAT ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.00005634 - $0.00005991
Support zone
$0.00005216 - $0.00005490
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
High
Support & Resistance

Top Hat support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.00005216 - $0.00005490
Resistance zone
$0.00005634 - $0.00005991
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.00005216 - $0.00005490
Support 2$0.00004873 - $0.00005056
Resistance 1$0.00005634 - $0.00005991
Resistance 2$0.00006203 - $0.00006531
Resistance 3$0.00006590 - $0.00006917
Resistance 4$0.00006964 - $0.00007147
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

HAT clears the resistance zone at $0.00005634 - $0.00005991 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.00006203 - $0.00006531.

Bearish scenario

HAT loses the support zone at $0.00005216 - $0.00005490. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.00004873 - $0.00005056.

Neutral scenario

HAT continues trading between $0.00005490 and $0.00005634. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.00006723
Bearish
HAT is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.00006212
Bearish
HAT remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.00006446
Bearish
HAT is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.0001914
Bearish
HAT is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
24.34
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 24.34, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
1.05
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 1.05, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.000003485
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
3.32%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.00006066
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-143.38
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -143.38, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.000009314
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.000009314, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-79.02
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -79.02, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.000004167
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.000004167, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
40.71
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 40.71, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.00005579
Bearish
HAT is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.00006433
Bearish
HAT is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Top Hat

Over the past 7 days, Top Hat price was most positively correlated with the price of Solana (SOL), Sei (SEI), Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum Classic (ETC) and Ethereum (ETH) and most negatively correlated with the price of Hyperliquid (HYPE), THORChain (RUNE), LEO Token (LEO), Plasma (XPL) and Pi Network (PI).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of SolanaSolana0.974
Image of SeiSei0.947
Image of BitcoinBitcoin0.945
Image of Ethereum ClassicEthereum Classic0.944
Image of EthereumEthereum0.939
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of HyperliquidHyperliquid-0.711
Image of THORChainTHORChain-0.547
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.505
Image of PlasmaPlasma-0.495
Image of Pi NetworkPi Network-0.456

Top Hat price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.775, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.619. Currencies that are positively correlated with Top Hat indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Top Hat, a move in one direction for Top Hat would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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