Image of LEO
LEOthe unexpected runner
$0.0₅5000
0.00%
1D

the unexpected runner Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into the unexpected runner's investment prospects.
6.3

The setup has a mild positive bias, but the reward-to-risk is not clean enough to be aggressive.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
  • Price is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which suggests the broader structure is weakening.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Quiet
Confidence: 55%
Why this state?
  • LEO is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Range trading / mean reversion. The market is balanced and relatively calm, which tends to reward mean-reversion behavior and range trading more than breakout chasing.

Trend
Sideways
LEO is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 24.43, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
LEO ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0₅5186 - $0.0₅5247
Support zone
$0.0₅4842 - $0.0₅4903
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

the unexpected runner support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0₅4842 - $0.0₅4903
Resistance zone
$0.0₅5186 - $0.0₅5247
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0₅4842 - $0.0₅4903
Support 2$0.0₅3995 - $0.0₅4070
Support 3$0.0₅3824 - $0.0₅3971
Resistance 1$0.0₅5186 - $0.0₅5247
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

LEO clears the resistance zone at $0.0₅5186 - $0.0₅5247 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0₅5186 - $0.0₅5247.

Bearish scenario

LEO loses the support zone at $0.0₅4842 - $0.0₅4903. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0₅3995 - $0.0₅4070.

Neutral scenario

LEO continues trading between $0.0₅4903 and $0.0₅5186. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0₅5413
Bearish
LEO is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0₅4629
Bullish
LEO remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0₅5268
Bearish
LEO is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.0₅5545
Bearish
LEO is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
24.43
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 24.43, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
8.95
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 8.95, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-1.502e-7
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
0.8465%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0₅5436
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-98.30
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -98.30, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-5.635e-7
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-5.635e-7, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-74.08
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -74.08, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-1.628e-7
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-1.628e-7, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
28.97
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 28.97, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0₅4955
Bullish
LEO is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0₅5558
Bearish
LEO is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to the unexpected runner

Over the past 7 days, the unexpected runner price was most positively correlated with the price of Polkadot (DOT), Conflux (CFX), Cosmos (ATOM), Aave (AAVE) and Sei (SEI) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), Beldex (BDX), Convex Finance (CVX), Dash (DASH) and LEO Token (LEO).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of PolkadotPolkadot0.860
Image of ConfluxConflux0.856
Image of CosmosCosmos0.854
Image of AaveAave0.844
Image of SeiSei0.825
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JUSTJUST-0.412
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.257
Image of Convex FinanceConvex Finance-0.176
Image of DashDash-0.143
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.081

the unexpected runner price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.705, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.596. Currencies that are positively correlated with the unexpected runner indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with the unexpected runner, a move in one direction for the unexpected runner would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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