Image of OGPEPE
OGPEPEThe Original Pepe
$5.28
1.71%
1D

The Original Pepe Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into The Original Pepe's investment prospects.
3.0

The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Price is holding above the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move still has volume-backed support.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Volatile
Confidence: 87%
Why this state?
  • OGPEPE is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.

Trend
Bearish
OGPEPE is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 44.89, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
OGPEPE ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$6.13 - $6.56
Active zone
$3.97 - $6.09
Support zone
$3.43 - $3.96
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

The Original Pepe support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$3.43 - $3.96
Resistance zone
$6.13 - $6.56
Active zone
$3.97 - $6.09
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$3.43 - $3.96
Support 2$2.80 - $3.35
Resistance 1$6.13 - $6.56
Resistance 2$7.30 - $7.62
Resistance 3$7.83 - $8.15
Resistance 4$8.69 - $9.01
Active 1$3.97 - $6.09
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

OGPEPE clears the resistance zone at $6.13 - $6.56 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $7.30 - $7.62.

Bearish scenario

OGPEPE loses the support zone at $3.43 - $3.96. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $2.80 - $3.35.

Neutral scenario

OGPEPE continues trading between $3.96 and $6.13. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$5.76
Bearish
OGPEPE is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$5.81
Bearish
OGPEPE remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$5.72
Bearish
OGPEPE is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$5.72
Bearish
OGPEPE is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
44.89
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 44.89, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
57.89
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 57.89, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
-0.1937
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
4.64%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$5.29
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-33.45
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -33.45, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.4754
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.4754, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-66.53
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -66.53, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.08692
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.08692, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
53.36
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 53.36, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$5.22
Bullish
OGPEPE is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$5.53
Bearish
OGPEPE is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to The Original Pepe

Over the past 7 days, The Original Pepe price was most positively correlated with the price of Hyperliquid (HYPE), LEO Token (LEO), Pi Network (PI), OKB (OKB) and TRON (TRX) and most negatively correlated with the price of Filecoin (FIL), Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL), Pendle (PENDLE), Pyth Network (PYTH) and Lido DAO Token (LDO).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of HyperliquidHyperliquid0.624
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token0.341
Image of Pi NetworkPi Network0.327
Image of OKBOKB0.225
Image of TRONTRON0.212
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of FilecoinFilecoin-0.805
Image of Virtuals ProtocolVirtuals Protocol-0.725
Image of PendlePendle-0.720
Image of Pyth NetworkPyth Network-0.703
Image of Lido DAO TokenLido DAO Token-0.702

The Original Pepe price is negatively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of -0.549, excluding Tether (USDT) and negatively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of -0.461. Currencies that are positively correlated with The Original Pepe indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with The Original Pepe, a move in one direction for The Original Pepe would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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