Image of BLACKSWAN
BLACKSWANThe Black Swan
$0.0₅6949
0.00%
1D

The Black Swan Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into The Black Swan's investment prospects.
4.1

The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.

What is helping
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
  • Volatility is relatively contained right now, which supports a cleaner trading environment.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • BLACKSWAN is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
BLACKSWAN is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 40.66, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
BLACKSWAN ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0₅7124 - $0.0₅7305
Support zone
$0.0₅6523 - $0.0₅6862
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

The Black Swan support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0₅6523 - $0.0₅6862
Resistance zone
$0.0₅7124 - $0.0₅7305
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0₅6523 - $0.0₅6862
Resistance 1$0.0₅7124 - $0.0₅7305
Resistance 2$0.0₅7349 - $0.0₅7530
Resistance 3$0.0₅7946 - $0.0₅8128
Resistance 4$0.0₅8246 - $0.0₅8575
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

BLACKSWAN clears the resistance zone at $0.0₅7124 - $0.0₅7305 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0₅7349 - $0.0₅7530.

Bearish scenario

BLACKSWAN loses the support zone at $0.0₅6523 - $0.0₅6862. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0₅6523 - $0.0₅6862.

Neutral scenario

BLACKSWAN continues trading between $0.0₅6862 and $0.0₅7124. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0₅7376
Bearish
BLACKSWAN is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0₅8311
Bearish
BLACKSWAN remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0₅7307
Bearish
BLACKSWAN is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.00001007
Bearish
BLACKSWAN is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
40.66
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 40.66, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
100.00
Overbought
Stoch RSI (14) is high at 100.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent upper extreme.
MACD
-2.018e-7
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
3.27%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0₅7323
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-41.51
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -41.51, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-6.171e-7
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-6.171e-7, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-47.92
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -47.92, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-1.875e-8
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-1.875e-8, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
46.75
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 46.75, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0₅6937
Bullish
BLACKSWAN is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0₅7375
Bearish
BLACKSWAN is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to The Black Swan

Over the past 7 days, The Black Swan price was most positively correlated with the price of Venice Token (VVV), Binance Coin (BNB), Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL) and most negatively correlated with the price of Beldex (BDX), TRON (TRX), World Liberty Financial (WLFI), StarkNet (STRK) and Stacks (STX).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Venice TokenVenice Token0.865
Image of Binance CoinBinance Coin0.859
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.848
Image of BitcoinBitcoin0.843
Image of SolanaSolana0.841
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.503
Image of TRONTRON-0.316
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial-0.246
Image of StarkNetStarkNet-0.213
Image of StacksStacks-0.161

The Black Swan price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.393, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.441. Currencies that are positively correlated with The Black Swan indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with The Black Swan, a move in one direction for The Black Swan would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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