Image of XLM
XLMStellar
$0.1849
4.04%
1D

Stellar Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Stellar's investment prospects.
6.2

The chart is fairly balanced right now, so waiting for stronger confirmation still makes sense.

What is helping
  • High Conviction Breakout: Price recently crossed above the 50-day average and VWMA is confirming, suggesting accumulation-backed momentum.
  • Institutional Support Reclaimed: A recent candle wick broke below SMA200 but closed above it while VWMA held, indicating strong buying interest at that level.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 69%
Why this state?
  • XLM is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
XLM is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 55.47, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
XLM ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.1911 - $0.2090
Active zone
$0.1638 - $0.1904
Support zone
$0.1335 - $0.1634
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Stellar support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.1335 - $0.1634
Resistance zone
$0.1911 - $0.2090
Active zone
$0.1638 - $0.1904
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.1335 - $0.1634
Support 2$0.06960 - $0.1228
Resistance 1$0.1911 - $0.2090
Resistance 2$0.2102 - $0.2380
Resistance 3$0.2414 - $0.2703
Resistance 4$0.2736 - $0.2882
Active 1$0.1638 - $0.1904
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

XLM clears the resistance zone at $0.1911 - $0.2090 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.2102 - $0.2380.

Bearish scenario

XLM loses the support zone at $0.1335 - $0.1634. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.06960 - $0.1228.

Neutral scenario

XLM continues trading between $0.1634 and $0.1911. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.1752
Bullish
XLM is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.1743
Bullish
XLM remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.1778
Bullish
XLM is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.1888
Bearish
XLM is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
55.47
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 55.47, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
28.50
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 28.50, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
0.001867
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
6.13%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.1868
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
24.93
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 24.93, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.004715
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.004715, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-74.98
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -74.98, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.002120
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.002120, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
46.57
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 46.57, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.1766
Bullish
XLM is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.1870
Bearish
XLM is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Stellar

Over the past 7 days, Stellar price was most positively correlated with the price of XRP (XRP), Avalanche (AVAX), Dogecoin (DOGE), Chainlink (LINK) and Ondo Finance (ONDO) and most negatively correlated with the price of Bonk (BONK), Morpho (MORPHO), Sky (SKY), Monero (XMR) and Decred (DCR).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of XRPXRP0.976
Image of AvalancheAvalanche0.954
Image of DogecoinDogecoin0.952
Image of ChainlinkChainlink0.939
Image of Ondo FinanceOndo Finance0.933
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BonkBonk-0.290
Image of MorphoMorpho-0.163
Image of SkySky-0.161
Image of MoneroMonero-0.134
Image of DecredDecred-0.121

Stellar price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.581, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.495. Currencies that are positively correlated with Stellar indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Stellar, a move in one direction for Stellar would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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