Image of RAI
RAIReploy
$0.005190
0.00%
1D

Reploy Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Reploy's investment prospects.
4.3

The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Bollinger Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are at historically narrow levels, signaling a high-energy move is coiling. Watch for a directional break.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • RAI is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
RAI is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 23.72, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
RAI ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.005848 - $0.006141
Support zone
$0.004647 - $0.004940
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
High
Support & Resistance

Reploy support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.004647 - $0.004940
Resistance zone
$0.005848 - $0.006141
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.004647 - $0.004940
Support 2$0.004351 - $0.004644
Resistance 1$0.005848 - $0.006141
Resistance 2$0.006872 - $0.007106
Resistance 3$0.007512 - $0.007805
Resistance 4$0.008047 - $0.008530
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

RAI clears the resistance zone at $0.005848 - $0.006141 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.006872 - $0.007106.

Bearish scenario

RAI loses the support zone at $0.004647 - $0.004940. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.004351 - $0.004644.

Neutral scenario

RAI continues trading between $0.004940 and $0.005848. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.007154
Bearish
RAI is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.02960
Bearish
RAI remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.008067
Bearish
RAI is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.05570
Bearish
RAI is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
23.72
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 23.72, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.0008376
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
5.65%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.006066
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-102.47
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -102.47, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.002995
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.002995, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-98.76
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -98.76.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.001345
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.001345, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
4.97
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 4.97, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.004724
Bullish
RAI is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.007235
Bearish
RAI is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Reploy

Over the past 7 days, Reploy price was most positively correlated with the price of Aptos (APT), World Liberty Financial (WLFI), Ethereum Classic (ETC), Beldex (BDX) and Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) and most negatively correlated with the price of Monad (MON), Stacks (STX), Midnight (NIGHT), Jasmy (JASMY) and JUST (JST).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of AptosAptos0.598
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial0.594
Image of Ethereum ClassicEthereum Classic0.588
Image of BeldexBeldex0.559
Image of Polygon Ecosystem TokenPolygon Ecosystem Token0.550
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of MonadMonad-0.866
Image of StacksStacks-0.796
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.745
Image of JasmyJasmy-0.655
Image of JUSTJUST-0.553

Reploy price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.082, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.066. Currencies that are positively correlated with Reploy indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Reploy, a move in one direction for Reploy would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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