Image of ALPHA
ALPHAAlpha
$0.0001640
-2.99%
1D

Alpha Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Alpha's investment prospects.
3.2

The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Volatile
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • ALPHA is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.

Trend
Bearish
ALPHA is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 15.66, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Volatile
ALPHA ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0001869 - $0.0002240
Support zone
$0.0001465 - $0.0001647
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
High
Support & Resistance

Alpha support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0001465 - $0.0001647
Resistance zone
$0.0001869 - $0.0002240
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0001465 - $0.0001647
Resistance 1$0.0001869 - $0.0002240
Resistance 2$0.0002266 - $0.0002510
Resistance 3$0.0002644 - $0.0002885
Resistance 4$0.0002952 - $0.0003092
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

ALPHA clears the resistance zone at $0.0001869 - $0.0002240 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0002266 - $0.0002510.

Bearish scenario

ALPHA loses the support zone at $0.0001465 - $0.0001647. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0001465 - $0.0001647.

Neutral scenario

ALPHA continues trading between $0.0001647 and $0.0001869. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0002503
Bearish
ALPHA is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0002639
Bearish
ALPHA remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0002346
Bearish
ALPHA is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.0003126
Bearish
ALPHA is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
15.66
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 15.66, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.00002050
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
8.50%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0002045
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-175.03
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -175.03, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.00005049
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.00005049, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-97.31
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -97.31.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.00003160
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.00003160, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
26.46
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 26.46, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0001630
Bullish
ALPHA is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0002116
Bearish
ALPHA is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Alpha

Over the past 7 days, Alpha price was most positively correlated with the price of XRP (XRP), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), KuCoin Token (KCS), Flare (FLR) and Polkadot (DOT) and most negatively correlated with the price of JUST (JST), World Liberty Financial (WLFI), Midnight (NIGHT), Jupiter (JUP) and GateToken (GT).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of XRPXRP0.982
Image of Bitcoin CashBitcoin Cash0.981
Image of KuCoin TokenKuCoin Token0.968
Image of FlareFlare0.962
Image of PolkadotPolkadot0.960
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JUSTJUST-0.696
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial-0.629
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.622
Image of JupiterJupiter-0.318
Image of GateTokenGateToken-0.309

Alpha price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.646, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.629. Currencies that are positively correlated with Alpha indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Alpha, a move in one direction for Alpha would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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