Image of MC
MCProject Matthew
$0.0007650
2.38%
1D

Project Matthew Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Project Matthew's investment prospects.
3.7

The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Bollinger Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are at historically narrow levels, signaling a high-energy move is coiling. Watch for a directional break.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • MC is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
MC is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 3.86, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
MC ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0007821 - $0.0008029
Active zone
$0.0007235 - $0.0007758
Support zone
$0.0007386 - $0.0007537
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Project Matthew support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0007386 - $0.0007537
Resistance zone
$0.0007821 - $0.0008029
Active zone
$0.0007235 - $0.0007758
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0007386 - $0.0007537
Resistance 1$0.0007821 - $0.0008029
Resistance 2$0.0008091 - $0.0008173
Active 1$0.0007235 - $0.0007758
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

MC clears the resistance zone at $0.0007821 - $0.0008029 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0008091 - $0.0008173.

Bearish scenario

MC loses the support zone at $0.0007386 - $0.0007537. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0007386 - $0.0007537.

Neutral scenario

MC continues trading between $0.0007537 and $0.0007821. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0007665
Bearish
MC is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0007725
Bearish
MC remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0007672
Bearish
MC is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.0007784
Bearish
MC is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
3.86
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 3.86, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.000001558
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
0.2115%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0007657
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-628.13
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -628.13, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.000002555
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.000002555, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-58.93
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -58.93, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.000008883
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.000008883, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
43.25
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 43.25, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0007617
Bearish
MC is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0007557
Bearish
MC is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Project Matthew

Over the past 7 days, Project Matthew price was most positively correlated with the price of Pump.fun (PUMP), Nexo (NEXO), Beldex (BDX), World Liberty Financial (WLFI) and Canton (CC) and most negatively correlated with the price of Jupiter (JUP), Raydium (RAY), Bittensor (TAO), Polkadot (DOT) and Render Token (RENDER).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Pump.funPump.fun0.538
Image of NexoNexo0.324
Image of BeldexBeldex0.271
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial0.236
Image of CantonCanton0.178
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JupiterJupiter-0.811
Image of RaydiumRaydium-0.806
Image of BittensorBittensor-0.658
Image of PolkadotPolkadot-0.644
Image of Render TokenRender Token-0.623

Project Matthew price is negatively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of -0.426, excluding Tether (USDT) and negatively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of -0.334. Currencies that are positively correlated with Project Matthew indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Project Matthew, a move in one direction for Project Matthew would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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