Image of XPD
XPDPalladium
$1,303.28
1.81%
1D

Palladium Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Palladium's investment prospects.
4.7

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Volatile
Confidence: 74%
Why this state?
  • XPD is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.

Trend
Bearish
XPD is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 39.86, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
XPD ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$1,372.04 - $1,436.56
Active zone
$1,252.51 - $1,365.32
Support zone
$1,161.03 - $1,231.25
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Palladium support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$1,161.03 - $1,231.25
Resistance zone
$1,372.04 - $1,436.56
Active zone
$1,252.51 - $1,365.32
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$1,161.03 - $1,231.25
Resistance 1$1,372.04 - $1,436.56
Active 1$1,252.51 - $1,365.32
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

XPD clears the resistance zone at $1,372.04 - $1,436.56 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $1,372.04 - $1,436.56.

Bearish scenario

XPD loses the support zone at $1,161.03 - $1,231.25. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $1,161.03 - $1,231.25.

Neutral scenario

XPD continues trading between $1,231.25 and $1,372.04. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$1,328.22
Bearish
XPD is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$1,391.49
Bearish
XPD remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$1,333.82
Bearish
XPD is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$1,417.23
Bearish
XPD is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
39.86
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 39.86, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
2.01
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
3.98%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$1,362.80
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-143.73
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -143.73, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$7.56
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $7.56, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-100.00
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -100.00.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-39.68
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-39.68, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
30.74
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 30.74, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$1,321.39
Bearish
XPD is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$1,367.49
Bearish
XPD is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Palladium

Over the past 7 days, Palladium price was most positively correlated with the price of Bitcoin (BTC), Aave (AAVE), Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Official Trump (TRUMP) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and most negatively correlated with the price of Tezos (XTZ), Venice Token (VVV), TRON (TRX), BitTorrent (BTT) and VeChain (VET).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BitcoinBitcoin0.887
Image of AaveAave0.864
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.861
Image of Official TrumpOfficial Trump0.845
Image of Bitcoin CashBitcoin Cash0.841
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of TezosTezos-0.778
Image of Venice TokenVenice Token-0.763
Image of TRONTRON-0.707
Image of BitTorrentBitTorrent-0.692
Image of VeChainVeChain-0.664

Palladium price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.230, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.343. Currencies that are positively correlated with Palladium indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Palladium, a move in one direction for Palladium would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

The CoinCheckup Cryptocurrency Price Tracker
Track over 40,000 crypto prices in real-time with ease.
Google Play Store link
4.3 • 10,000+ Ratings
Image of mobile app