Image of MC
MCMerry Christmas
$0.0₅9994
0.00%
1D

Merry Christmas Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Merry Christmas's investment prospects.
5.0

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 64%
Why this state?
  • MC is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
MC is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 17.90, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
MC ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.00001129 - $0.00001166
Active zone
$0.0₅9854 - $0.00001049
Support zone
$0.0₅9324 - $0.0₅9692
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Merry Christmas support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0₅9324 - $0.0₅9692
Resistance zone
$0.00001129 - $0.00001166
Active zone
$0.0₅9854 - $0.00001049
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0₅9324 - $0.0₅9692
Support 2$0.0₅7651 - $0.0₅8820
Support 3$0.0₅7043 - $0.0₅7631
Resistance 1$0.00001129 - $0.00001166
Resistance 2$0.00001244 - $0.00001330
Resistance 3$0.00001331 - $0.00001368
Resistance 4$0.00001423 - $0.00001459
Active 1$0.0₅9854 - $0.00001049
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

MC clears the resistance zone at $0.00001129 - $0.00001166 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.00001244 - $0.00001330.

Bearish scenario

MC loses the support zone at $0.0₅9324 - $0.0₅9692. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0₅7651 - $0.0₅8820.

Neutral scenario

MC continues trading between $0.0₅9692 and $0.00001129. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.00001360
Bearish
MC is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.00001062
Bearish
MC remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.00001295
Bearish
MC is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.00001254
Bearish
MC is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
17.90
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 17.90, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-8.435e-7
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
3.67%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.00001104
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-178.90
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -178.90, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.000002616
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.000002616, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-98.36
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -98.36.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.000002163
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.000002163, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
9.82
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 9.82, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0₅8973
Bullish
MC is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.00001284
Bearish
MC is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Merry Christmas

Over the past 7 days, Merry Christmas price was most positively correlated with the price of Solana (SOL), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Venice Token (VVV), Pump.fun (PUMP) and Litecoin (LTC) and most negatively correlated with the price of Beldex (BDX), Kaia (KAIA), Cosmos (ATOM), StarkNet (STRK) and Raydium (RAY).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of SolanaSolana0.978
Image of Bitcoin CashBitcoin Cash0.975
Image of Venice TokenVenice Token0.965
Image of Pump.funPump.fun0.951
Image of LitecoinLitecoin0.949
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.861
Image of KaiaKaia-0.684
Image of CosmosCosmos-0.678
Image of StarkNetStarkNet-0.673
Image of RaydiumRaydium-0.648

Merry Christmas price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.480, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.573. Currencies that are positively correlated with Merry Christmas indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Merry Christmas, a move in one direction for Merry Christmas would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

The CoinCheckup Cryptocurrency Price Tracker
Track over 40,000 crypto prices in real-time with ease.
Google Play Store link
4.3 • 10,000+ Ratings
Image of mobile app