Image of MP
MPMerlinSwap
$0.00009145
-0.87%
1D

MerlinSwap Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into MerlinSwap's investment prospects.
2.8

The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Price is holding above the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move still has volume-backed support.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Volatile
Confidence: 94%
Why this state?
  • MP is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.

Trend
Bearish
MP is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 42.41, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
MP ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.00009519 - $0.0001093
Support zone
$0.00004290 - $0.00005698
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

MerlinSwap support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.00004290 - $0.00005698
Resistance zone
$0.00009519 - $0.0001093
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.00004290 - $0.00005698
Resistance 1$0.00009519 - $0.0001093
Resistance 2$0.0001122 - $0.0001489
Resistance 3$0.0001622 - $0.0001763
Resistance 4$0.0002035 - $0.0002272
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

MP clears the resistance zone at $0.00009519 - $0.0001093 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0001122 - $0.0001489.

Bearish scenario

MP loses the support zone at $0.00004290 - $0.00005698. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.00004290 - $0.00005698.

Neutral scenario

MP continues trading between $0.00005698 and $0.00009519. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0001136
Bearish
MP is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0001239
Bearish
MP remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0001079
Bearish
MP is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.0001321
Bearish
MP is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
42.41
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 42.41, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
81.12
Overbought
Stoch RSI (14) is high at 81.12, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent upper extreme.
MACD
-0.000006610
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
11.84%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.00008587
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
24.92
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 24.92, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.00002078
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.00002078, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-48.89
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -48.89, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.000001643
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.000001643, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
15.91
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 15.91, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.00009093
Bullish
MP is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0001025
Bearish
MP is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to MerlinSwap

Over the past 7 days, MerlinSwap price was most positively correlated with the price of VeChain (VET), Worldcoin (WLD), Cronos (CRO), Kaia (KAIA) and Tezos (XTZ) and most negatively correlated with the price of LEO Token (LEO), OKB (OKB), Zcash (ZEC), Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Pepe Coin (PEPE).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of VeChainVeChain0.700
Image of WorldcoinWorldcoin0.693
Image of CronosCronos0.683
Image of KaiaKaia0.675
Image of TezosTezos0.639
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.591
Image of OKBOKB-0.586
Image of ZcashZcash-0.578
Image of HyperliquidHyperliquid-0.562
Image of Pepe CoinPepe Coin-0.532

MerlinSwap price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.320, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.226. Currencies that are positively correlated with MerlinSwap indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with MerlinSwap, a move in one direction for MerlinSwap would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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