Image of LIT
LITLighter
$3.46
-9.63%
1D

Lighter Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Lighter's investment prospects.
4.6

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Volatile
Confidence: 52%
Why this state?
  • LIT is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Wait for breakout confirmation. Price is still non-directional, but volatility is elevated, so false moves are more common and waiting for a cleaner breakout confirmation is usually the better setup.

Trend
Sideways
LIT is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 36.10, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
LIT ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$3.84 - $4.18
Support zone
$2.11 - $2.91
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Lighter support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$2.11 - $2.91
Resistance zone
$3.84 - $4.18
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$2.11 - $2.91
Support 2$1.76 - $2.10
Support 3$0.6692 - $1.22
Resistance 1$3.84 - $4.18
Resistance 2$5.13 - $5.68
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

LIT clears the resistance zone at $3.84 - $4.18 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $5.13 - $5.68.

Bearish scenario

LIT loses the support zone at $2.11 - $2.91. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $1.76 - $2.10.

Neutral scenario

LIT continues trading between $2.91 and $3.84. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$3.96
Bearish
LIT is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$2.12
Bullish
LIT remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$3.96
Bearish
LIT is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$2.60
Bullish
LIT is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
36.10
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 36.10, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.03792
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
11.88%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$4.50
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-153.19
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -153.19, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.4351
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.4351, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-98.79
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -98.79.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.5648
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.5648, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
31.05
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 31.05, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$3.52
Bullish
LIT is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$4.53
Bearish
LIT is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Lighter

Over the past 7 days, Lighter price was most positively correlated with the price of Beldex (BDX), Ethereum Classic (ETC), Canton (CC), Bitcoin SV (BSV) and Optimism (OP) and most negatively correlated with the price of Midnight (NIGHT), Pump.fun (PUMP), LayerZero (ZRO), JUST (JST) and Quant (QNT).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BeldexBeldex0.878
Image of Ethereum ClassicEthereum Classic0.870
Image of CantonCanton0.867
Image of Bitcoin SVBitcoin SV0.856
Image of OptimismOptimism0.850
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.879
Image of Pump.funPump.fun-0.854
Image of LayerZeroLayerZero-0.749
Image of JUSTJUST-0.748
Image of QuantQuant-0.745

Lighter price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.273, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.240. Currencies that are positively correlated with Lighter indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Lighter, a move in one direction for Lighter would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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