Image of ETHE
ETHEGrayscale Ethereum Trust
$20.43
0.05%
1D

Grayscale Ethereum Trust Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Grayscale Ethereum Trust's investment prospects.
7.6

The asset still looks technically supportive, with multiple signals continuing to back the setup.

What is helping
  • Squeeze Breakout Setup: Bollinger Bands are historically compressed and price is above EMA50, suggesting an expansion move may be underway.
  • Price is holding above the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move still has volume-backed support.
Main risks
  • Momentum is extended, which raises the risk of chasing.
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Quiet
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • ETHE is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.

Trend
Bullish
ETHE is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Overbought
RSI is 70.81, which points to stretched upside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
ETHE ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$21.14 - $21.68
Active zone
$18.93 - $20.69
Support zone
$17.25 - $18.39
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Overbought
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
High
Support & Resistance

Grayscale Ethereum Trust support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$17.25 - $18.39
Resistance zone
$21.14 - $21.68
Active zone
$18.93 - $20.69
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$17.25 - $18.39
Support 2$14.43 - $16.26
Support 3$12.05 - $12.63
Resistance 1$21.14 - $21.68
Resistance 2$21.73 - $24.04
Resistance 3$24.68 - $25.23
Resistance 4$25.54 - $25.96
Active 1$18.93 - $20.69
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

ETHE clears the resistance zone at $21.14 - $21.68 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $21.73 - $24.04.

Bearish scenario

ETHE loses the support zone at $17.25 - $18.39. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $14.43 - $16.26.

Neutral scenario

ETHE continues trading between $18.39 and $21.14. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$17.66
Bullish
ETHE is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$16.65
Bullish
ETHE remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$18.20
Bullish
ETHE is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$17.81
Bullish
ETHE is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
70.81
Overbought
RSI (14) is elevated at 70.81, which suggests upside momentum may be getting stretched.
Stoch RSI (14)
66.15
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 66.15, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
0.7153
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
2.04%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$20.04
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
122.12
Bullish
CCI (20) is strong at 122.12, which shows price is trading well above its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$1.54
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $1.54, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-36.63
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -36.63, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.2865
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.2865, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
55.90
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 55.90, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$20.57
Bearish
ETHE is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$19.06
Bullish
ETHE is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to Grayscale Ethereum Trust

Over the past 7 days, Grayscale Ethereum Trust price was most positively correlated with the price of Ethereum (ETH), BitTorrent (BTT), JUST (JST), Monero (XMR) and Raydium (RAY) and most negatively correlated with the price of Cosmos (ATOM), Aptos (APT), Polkadot (DOT), Celestia (TIA) and Midnight (NIGHT).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of EthereumEthereum0.838
Image of BitTorrentBitTorrent0.729
Image of JUSTJUST0.675
Image of MoneroMonero0.635
Image of RaydiumRaydium0.548
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of CosmosCosmos-0.718
Image of AptosAptos-0.685
Image of PolkadotPolkadot-0.650
Image of CelestiaCelestia-0.644
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.643

Grayscale Ethereum Trust price is negatively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of -0.440, excluding Tether (USDT) and negatively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of -0.163. Currencies that are positively correlated with Grayscale Ethereum Trust indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Grayscale Ethereum Trust, a move in one direction for Grayscale Ethereum Trust would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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