Image of FRED
FREDFirst Convicted RACCON
$0.0002056
-19.57%
1D

First Convicted RACCON Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into First Convicted RACCON's investment prospects.
3.7

The current setup is weak or too risky to treat as an attractive buy right now.

What is helping
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
  • Bollinger Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are at historically narrow levels, signaling a high-energy move is coiling. Watch for a directional break.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 88%
Why this state?
  • FRED is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
FRED is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 19.79, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Quiet
FRED ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.0002748 - $0.0002921
Support zone
$0.0001811 - $0.0002036
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
High
Support & Resistance

First Convicted RACCON support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.0001811 - $0.0002036
Resistance zone
$0.0002748 - $0.0002921
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.0001811 - $0.0002036
Resistance 1$0.0002748 - $0.0002921
Resistance 2$0.0003065 - $0.0003239
Resistance 3$0.0003262 - $0.0003560
Resistance 4$0.0003769 - $0.0004087
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

FRED clears the resistance zone at $0.0002748 - $0.0002921 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.0003065 - $0.0003239.

Bearish scenario

FRED loses the support zone at $0.0001811 - $0.0002036. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.0001811 - $0.0002036.

Neutral scenario

FRED continues trading between $0.0002036 and $0.0002748. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.0003343
Bearish
FRED is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.0003521
Bearish
FRED remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.0003180
Bearish
FRED is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.0005193
Bearish
FRED is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
19.79
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 19.79, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.00002230
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
8.51%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.0002824
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-319.07
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -319.07, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.00003957
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.00003957, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-99.22
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -99.22.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.00004081
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.00004081, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
21.04
Oversold
Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 21.04, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.0002407
Bearish
FRED is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.0002724
Bearish
FRED is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to First Convicted RACCON

Over the past 7 days, First Convicted RACCON price was most positively correlated with the price of Binance Coin (BNB), Bitcoin (BTC), Official Trump (TRUMP), PancakeSwap (CAKE) and Filecoin (FIL) and most negatively correlated with the price of Midnight (NIGHT), JUST (JST), Jupiter (JUP), Beldex (BDX) and World Liberty Financial (WLFI).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Binance CoinBinance Coin0.929
Image of BitcoinBitcoin0.925
Image of Official TrumpOfficial Trump0.922
Image of PancakeSwapPancakeSwap0.914
Image of FilecoinFilecoin0.913
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.628
Image of JUSTJUST-0.527
Image of JupiterJupiter-0.507
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.392
Image of World Liberty FinancialWorld Liberty Financial-0.251

First Convicted RACCON price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.705, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.683. Currencies that are positively correlated with First Convicted RACCON indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with First Convicted RACCON, a move in one direction for First Convicted RACCON would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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