Image of ADA
ADACardano
$0.2080
2.27%
1D

Cardano Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Cardano's investment prospects.
6.2

The chart is fairly balanced right now, so waiting for stronger confirmation still makes sense.

What is helping
  • Institutional Support Reclaimed: A recent candle wick broke below SMA200 but closed above it while VWMA held, indicating strong buying interest at that level.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
  • Price is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which suggests the broader structure is weakening.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Quiet
Confidence: 53%
Why this state?
  • ADA is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Range trading / mean reversion. The market is balanced and relatively calm, which tends to reward mean-reversion behavior and range trading more than breakout chasing.

Trend
Sideways
ADA is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 37.70, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
ADA ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.2209 - $0.2736
Active zone
$0.2049 - $0.2175
Support zone
$0.1664 - $0.1967
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Cardano support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.1664 - $0.1967
Resistance zone
$0.2209 - $0.2736
Active zone
$0.2049 - $0.2175
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.1664 - $0.1967
Support 2$0.1460 - $0.1603
Resistance 1$0.2209 - $0.2736
Resistance 2$0.2742 - $0.3244
Resistance 3$0.3256 - $0.3382
Resistance 4$0.3635 - $0.3780
Active 1$0.2049 - $0.2175
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

ADA clears the resistance zone at $0.2209 - $0.2736 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.2742 - $0.3244.

Bearish scenario

ADA loses the support zone at $0.1664 - $0.1967. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.1460 - $0.1603.

Neutral scenario

ADA continues trading between $0.1967 and $0.2209. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.2307
Bearish
ADA is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.2109
Bearish
ADA remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.2243
Bearish
ADA is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.2382
Bearish
ADA is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
37.70
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 37.70, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
31.60
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 31.60, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
-0.008193
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
4.69%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.2288
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-98.73
Neutral
CCI (20) is at -98.73, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.02929
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.02929, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-84.52
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -84.52.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.009169
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.009169, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
45.53
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 45.53, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.2061
Bullish
ADA is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.2414
Bearish
ADA is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Cardano

Over the past 7 days, Cardano price was most positively correlated with the price of Jito (JTO), Bitget Token (BGB), Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL), Ethereum Classic (ETC) and Conflux (CFX) and most negatively correlated with the price of LEO Token (LEO), JUST (JST), TRON (TRX), SPX6900 (SPX) and Binance Coin (BNB).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of JitoJito0.938
Image of Bitget TokenBitget Token0.891
Image of Virtuals ProtocolVirtuals Protocol0.879
Image of Ethereum ClassicEthereum Classic0.870
Image of ConfluxConflux0.867
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.504
Image of JUSTJUST-0.359
Image of TRONTRON-0.246
Image of SPX6900SPX6900-0.238
Image of Binance CoinBinance Coin-0.190

Cardano price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.581, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.575. Currencies that are positively correlated with Cardano indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Cardano, a move in one direction for Cardano would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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