Image of ADA
ADACardano
$0.1797
2.10%
1D

Cardano Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Cardano's investment prospects.
5.2

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Quiet
Confidence: 68%
Why this state?
  • ADA is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Stay defensive and wait for confirmation. The market is weak without panic-level volatility, which usually argues for staying defensive, avoiding aggressive entries, and waiting for clearer evidence of a reversal.

Trend
Bearish
ADA is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 32.40, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
ADA ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.2209 - $0.2735
Active zone
$0.1664 - $0.2061
Support zone
$0.1477 - $0.1603
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Cardano support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.1477 - $0.1603
Resistance zone
$0.2209 - $0.2735
Active zone
$0.1664 - $0.2061
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.1477 - $0.1603
Resistance 1$0.2209 - $0.2735
Resistance 2$0.2743 - $0.3244
Resistance 3$0.3256 - $0.3382
Resistance 4$0.3635 - $0.3780
Active 1$0.1664 - $0.2061
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

ADA clears the resistance zone at $0.2209 - $0.2735 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.2743 - $0.3244.

Bearish scenario

ADA loses the support zone at $0.1477 - $0.1603. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.1477 - $0.1603.

Neutral scenario

ADA continues trading between $0.1603 and $0.2209. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.2253
Bearish
ADA is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.2073
Bearish
ADA remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.2102
Bearish
ADA is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.2326
Bearish
ADA is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
32.40
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 32.40, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
16.68
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 16.68, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.01245
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
5.45%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.1984
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-122.65
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -122.65, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.03041
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.03041, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-87.82
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -87.82.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.01214
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.01214, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
43.27
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 43.27, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.1757
Bullish
ADA is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.2032
Bearish
ADA is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Cardano

Over the past 7 days, Cardano price was most positively correlated with the price of Dogecoin (DOGE), Cronos (CRO), Litecoin (LTC), The Graph (GRT) and Solana (SOL) and most negatively correlated with the price of Arbitrum (ARB), JUST (JST), Injective (INJ), Raydium (RAY) and Pepe Coin (PEPE).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of DogecoinDogecoin0.979
Image of CronosCronos0.979
Image of LitecoinLitecoin0.975
Image of The GraphThe Graph0.975
Image of SolanaSolana0.974
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of ArbitrumArbitrum-0.468
Image of JUSTJUST-0.463
Image of InjectiveInjective-0.278
Image of RaydiumRaydium-0.190
Image of Pepe CoinPepe Coin-0.042

Cardano price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.678, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.727. Currencies that are positively correlated with Cardano indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Cardano, a move in one direction for Cardano would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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