The asset looks technically constructive, but the current entry quality is not perfect.
In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.
Bitcoin ETF support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.
| Level | Zone | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| Support 1 | $0.00003887 - $0.00003997 | |
| Support 2 | $0.00003783 - $0.00003868 | |
| Support 3 | $0.00003499 - $0.00003551 | |
| Support 4 | $0.00002319 - $0.00002371 | |
| Resistance 1 | $0.00004086 - $0.00004137 | |
| Resistance 2 | $0.00004137 - $0.00004189 | |
| Resistance 3 | $0.00004195 - $0.00004247 | |
| Resistance 4 | $0.00004455 - $0.00004494 | |
| Active 1 | $0.00004034 - $0.00004077 |
ETF clears the resistance zone at $0.00004086 - $0.00004137 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.00004137 - $0.00004189.
ETF loses the support zone at $0.00003887 - $0.00003997. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.00003783 - $0.00003868.
ETF continues trading between $0.00003997 and $0.00004086. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.
Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.
| Indicator | Value | Signal | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA50 | $0.00003316 | Bullish | ETF is trading above the 50-day average. |
| SMA200 | $0.00003890 | Bullish | ETF remains above the long-term trend line. |
| EMA50 | $0.00003736 | Bullish | ETF is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend. |
| EMA200 | $0.00004646 | Bearish | ETF is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure. |
| RSI (14) | 61.96 | Neutral | RSI (14) is at 61.96, which keeps momentum in a balanced range. |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 0.00 | Oversold | Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme. |
| MACD | 0.0₅1646 | Bearish | MACD is below its signal line. |
| ATR | 0.9762% | Quiet | Volatility is below its 180-day median. |
| VWMA | $0.00004058 | Bearish | Price is below the volume-weighted average. |
| Commodity Channel Index (20) | -54.06 | Neutral | CCI (20) is at -54.06, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average. |
| Awesome Oscillator (5, 34) | $0.0₅3571 | Bullish | Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.0₅3571, which supports bullish momentum. |
| Williams Percent Range (14) | -68.24 | Neutral | Williams Percent Range (14) is at -68.24, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range. |
| Bull Bear Power (13) | $-2.792e-7 | Bearish | Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-2.792e-7, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline. |
| Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28) | 24.76 | Oversold | Ultimate Oscillator is weak at 24.76, which suggests multi-timeframe downside momentum may be stretched. |
| Hull Moving Average (9) | $0.00003985 | Bullish | ETF is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend. |
| Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26) | $0.00003523 | Bullish | ETF is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure. |
Over the past 7 days, Bitcoin ETF price was most positively correlated with the price of Quant (QNT), Plasma (XPL), Sui Crypto (SUI), Aster (ASTER) and Midnight (NIGHT) and most negatively correlated with the price of BitTorrent (BTT), Raydium (RAY), GateToken (GT), Ethereum (ETH) and Sun Token (SUN).
| Name | Correlation |
|---|---|
| Quant | 0.670 |
| Plasma | 0.653 |
| Sui Crypto | 0.651 |
| Aster | 0.649 |
| Midnight | 0.642 |
| Name | Correlation |
|---|---|
| BitTorrent | -0.701 |
| Raydium | -0.640 |
| GateToken | -0.614 |
| Ethereum | -0.530 |
| Sun Token | -0.443 |
Bitcoin ETF price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.473, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.279. Currencies that are positively correlated with Bitcoin ETF indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Bitcoin ETF, a move in one direction for Bitcoin ETF would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.
