Image of FORM
FORMFour
$0.1746
-11.63%
1D

Four Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Four's investment prospects.
4.2

The setup lacks strong confirmation and carries enough risk to justify caution at current levels.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Value Area Re-test: Price is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, historically a mean-reversion opportunity when broader trend support holds.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • The higher-timeframe trend is still working against fresh longs.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bear Volatile
Confidence: 70%
Why this state?
  • FORM is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is negative over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bear Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Capital preservation / avoid chasing reversals. Downtrend pressure is being reinforced by unstable price action, which makes capital preservation and patience more important than trying to catch sharp countertrend moves.

Trend
Bearish
FORM is trading below key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still weakening.
Momentum
Oversold
RSI is 28.24, which points to stretched downside momentum.
Volatility
Volatile
FORM ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.1741 - $0.1890
Support zone
$0.1527 - $0.1721
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Oversold
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Average
Support & Resistance

Four support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.1527 - $0.1721
Resistance zone
$0.1741 - $0.1890
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.1527 - $0.1721
Resistance 1$0.1741 - $0.1890
Resistance 2$0.1901 - $0.2186
Resistance 3$0.2213 - $0.2461
Resistance 4$0.2494 - $0.2783
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

FORM clears the resistance zone at $0.1741 - $0.1890 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.1901 - $0.2186.

Bearish scenario

FORM loses the support zone at $0.1527 - $0.1721. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.1527 - $0.1721.

Neutral scenario

FORM continues trading between $0.1721 and $0.1741. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.2416
Bearish
FORM is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.2386
Bearish
FORM remains below the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.2267
Bearish
FORM is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.2887
Bearish
FORM is below the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure under pressure.
RSI (14)
28.24
Oversold
RSI (14) is depressed at 28.24, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Stoch RSI (14)
1.19
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 1.19, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.01371
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
8.64%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.2016
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-208.82
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -208.82, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.02647
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.02647, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-84.90
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -84.90.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.01524
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.01524, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
42.99
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 42.99, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.1918
Bearish
FORM is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.2097
Bearish
FORM is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Four

Over the past 7 days, Four price was most positively correlated with the price of Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET), Bonk (BONK), Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Pyth Network (PYTH) and Conflux (CFX) and most negatively correlated with the price of Midnight (NIGHT), Beldex (BDX), JUST (JST), LEO Token (LEO) and APENFT (NFT).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Artificial Superintelligence AllianceArtificial Superintelligence Alliance0.807
Image of BonkBonk0.792
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.790
Image of Pyth NetworkPyth Network0.783
Image of ConfluxConflux0.767
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of MidnightMidnight-0.205
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.003
Image of JUSTJUST0.001
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token0.022
Image of APENFTAPENFT0.055

Four price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.487, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.467. Currencies that are positively correlated with Four indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Four, a move in one direction for Four would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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