Image of DRV
DRVDerive
$0.4057
-5.94%
1D

Derive Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Derive's investment prospects.
7.1

The asset looks technically constructive, but the current entry quality is not perfect.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Solid Trend Structure: EMAs are stacked bullishly and price is holding above VWMA, confirming a healthy trend environment.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Momentum is extended, which raises the risk of chasing.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • DRV is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
DRV is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Overbought
RSI is 70.59, which points to stretched upside momentum.
Volatility
Volatile
DRV ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$0.4360 - $0.5159
Support zone
$0.1652 - $0.2267
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Overbought
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Derive support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$0.1652 - $0.2267
Resistance zone
$0.4360 - $0.5159
Active zone
--
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$0.1652 - $0.2267
Support 2$0.01958 - $0.1589
Resistance 1$0.4360 - $0.5159
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

DRV clears the resistance zone at $0.4360 - $0.5159 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $0.4360 - $0.5159.

Bearish scenario

DRV loses the support zone at $0.1652 - $0.2267. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $0.01958 - $0.1589.

Neutral scenario

DRV continues trading between $0.2267 and $0.4360. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$0.1953
Bullish
DRV is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$0.1205
Bullish
DRV remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$0.2346
Bullish
DRV is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$0.1356
Bullish
DRV is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
70.59
Overbought
RSI (14) is elevated at 70.59, which suggests upside momentum may be getting stretched.
Stoch RSI (14)
58.06
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 58.06, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
0.08010
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
14.10%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$0.3761
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
73.48
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 73.48, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.2104
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.2104, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-18.73
Overbought
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the top of its recent range at -18.73.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.04949
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.04949, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
57.65
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 57.65, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$0.4428
Bearish
DRV is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$0.3204
Bullish
DRV is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to Derive

Over the past 7 days, Derive price was most positively correlated with the price of Bitcoin SV (BSV), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Decred (DCR), Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) and BitTorrent (BTT) and most negatively correlated with the price of Aster (ASTER), StarkNet (STRK), Gnosis (GNO), Avalanche (AVAX) and Pendle (PENDLE).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Bitcoin SVBitcoin SV0.759
Image of Bitcoin CashBitcoin Cash0.689
Image of DecredDecred0.645
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.623
Image of BitTorrentBitTorrent0.567
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of AsterAster-0.701
Image of StarkNetStarkNet-0.683
Image of GnosisGnosis-0.628
Image of AvalancheAvalanche-0.573
Image of PendlePendle-0.566

Derive price is negatively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of -0.089, excluding Tether (USDT) and negatively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of -0.026. Currencies that are positively correlated with Derive indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Derive, a move in one direction for Derive would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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