Image of BTC
BTCBitcoin
$80,400
-1.24%
1D

Bitcoin Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Bitcoin's investment prospects.
8.4

Trend and momentum are aligned, and the current chart still offers a constructive buy setup.

What is helping
  • Price is holding above the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move still has volume-backed support.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • Trend Exhaustion Risk: Price is more than 5% extended above EMA50, increasing the risk of a pullback or mean-reversion dip.
  • EMA Tangle: The 50/100/200 EMAs are historically compressed, a sign of directional uncertainty that often precedes choppy or false-breakout conditions.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Quiet
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • BTC is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Quiet regime, the best-fit approach is Trend following / buy dips. Trend conditions are constructive and volatility is contained, which usually favors following the move higher and looking for pullbacks instead of fading strength.

Trend
Bullish
BTC is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 64.42, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Quiet
BTC ATR volatility is below the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$87,422 - $91,232
Active zone
$78,201 - $85,725
Support zone
$68,716 - $77,588
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Quiet
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Bitcoin support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$68,716 - $77,588
Resistance zone
$87,422 - $91,232
Active zone
$78,201 - $85,725
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$68,716 - $77,588
Support 2$61,298 - $68,093
Support 3$55,489 - $60,604
Resistance 1$87,422 - $91,232
Resistance 2$91,460 - $95,698
Resistance 3$96,799 - $101,031
Resistance 4$106,350 - $113,224
Active 1$78,201 - $85,725
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

BTC clears the resistance zone at $87,422 - $91,232 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $91,460 - $95,698.

Bearish scenario

BTC loses the support zone at $68,716 - $77,588. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $61,298 - $68,093.

Neutral scenario

BTC continues trading between $77,588 and $87,422. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$72,861
Bullish
BTC is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$70,493
Bullish
BTC remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$74,270
Bullish
BTC is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$73,309
Bullish
BTC is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
64.42
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 64.42, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
82.87
Overbought
Stoch RSI (14) is high at 82.87, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent upper extreme.
MACD
1,325.46
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
2.33%
Quiet
Volatility is below its 180-day median.
VWMA
$78,242
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
161.29
Bullish
CCI (20) is strong at 161.29, which shows price is trading well above its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$933.45
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $933.45, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-8.70
Overbought
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the top of its recent range at -8.70.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$3,157.82
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $3,157.82, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
54.07
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 54.07, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$79,459
Bullish
BTC is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$78,552
Bullish
BTC is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to Bitcoin

Over the past 7 days, Bitcoin price was most positively correlated with the price of Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), Chainlink (LINK), Cardano (ADA) and Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) and most negatively correlated with the price of Pi Network (PI), Beldex (BDX), LEO Token (LEO), JUST (JST) and APENFT (NFT).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of EthereumEthereum0.978
Image of SolanaSolana0.971
Image of ChainlinkChainlink0.965
Image of CardanoCardano0.960
Image of Virtuals ProtocolVirtuals Protocol0.959
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of Pi NetworkPi Network-0.150
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.064
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.048
Image of JUSTJUST0.208
Image of APENFTAPENFT0.305

Bitcoin price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.875, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.810. Currencies that are positively correlated with Bitcoin indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Bitcoin, a move in one direction for Bitcoin would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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