Image of BTC
BTCBitcoin
$77,772
-0.54%
1D

Bitcoin Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Bitcoin's investment prospects.
7.2

The asset looks technically constructive, but the current entry quality is not perfect.

What is helping
  • MACD is confirming the current directional bias.
  • Price is holding above the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move still has volume-backed support.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which points to weakening short-term momentum.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 72%
Why this state?
  • BTC is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is below SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
BTC is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 68.51, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
BTC ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$91,738 - $96,021
Active zone
$69,764 - $85,472
Support zone
$60,689 - $68,517
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bullish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Bitcoin support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$60,689 - $68,517
Resistance zone
$91,738 - $96,021
Active zone
$69,764 - $85,472
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$60,689 - $68,517
Support 2$56,721 - $60,652
Resistance 1$91,738 - $96,021
Resistance 2$96,964 - $100,954
Resistance 3$101,937 - $105,619
Resistance 4$106,356 - $113,285
Active 1$69,764 - $85,472
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

BTC clears the resistance zone at $91,738 - $96,021 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $96,964 - $100,954.

Bearish scenario

BTC loses the support zone at $60,689 - $68,517. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $56,721 - $60,652.

Neutral scenario

BTC continues trading between $68,517 and $91,738. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$67,305
Bullish
BTC is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$69,392
Bullish
BTC remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$69,325
Bullish
BTC is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$72,195
Bullish
BTC is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
68.51
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 68.51, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
44.74
Neutral
Stoch RSI (14) is at 44.74, which suggests momentum is active but not yet extreme.
MACD
3,850.19
Bullish
MACD is above its signal line.
ATR
3.65%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$73,396
Bullish
Price is above the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
64.76
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 64.76, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$10,287
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $10,287, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-19.50
Overbought
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the top of its recent range at -19.50.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$2,675.14
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $2,675.14, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
52.03
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 52.03, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$78,264
Bearish
BTC is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$71,867
Bullish
BTC is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to Bitcoin

Over the past 7 days, Bitcoin price was most positively correlated with the price of Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Aerodrome Finance (AERO), Chainlink (LINK) and Ethereum Name Service (ENS) and most negatively correlated with the price of LEO Token (LEO), Decred (DCR), Official Trump (TRUMP), TRON (TRX) and Trust Wallet Token (TWT).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of EthereumEthereum0.861
Image of Binance CoinBinance Coin0.841
Image of Aerodrome FinanceAerodrome Finance0.805
Image of ChainlinkChainlink0.793
Image of Ethereum Name ServiceEthereum Name Service0.761
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of LEO TokenLEO Token-0.362
Image of DecredDecred-0.337
Image of Official TrumpOfficial Trump-0.148
Image of TRONTRON-0.071
Image of Trust Wallet TokenTrust Wallet Token-0.044

Bitcoin price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.395, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.376. Currencies that are positively correlated with Bitcoin indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Bitcoin, a move in one direction for Bitcoin would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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