Image of AR
ARArweave
$3.45
-3.94%
1D

Arweave Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Arweave's investment prospects.
4.7

The chart is mixed right now, so patience is justified unless a better entry appears.

What is helping
  • Stoch RSI is near the lower end of its range, which suggests downside momentum may be getting exhausted.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is too close to resistance relative to nearby support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Sideways Volatile
Confidence: 44%
Why this state?
  • AR is below SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is negative
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Sideways Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Wait for breakout confirmation. Price is still non-directional, but volatility is elevated, so false moves are more common and waiting for a cleaner breakout confirmation is usually the better setup.

Trend
Sideways
AR is caught between bullish and bearish trend signals.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 39.78, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
AR ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$3.91 - $4.42
Active zone
$3.31 - $3.86
Support zone
$1.49 - $2.23
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Arweave support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$1.49 - $2.23
Resistance zone
$3.91 - $4.42
Active zone
$3.31 - $3.86
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$1.49 - $2.23
Resistance 1$3.91 - $4.42
Resistance 2$5.05 - $5.47
Resistance 3$5.81 - $6.19
Resistance 4$6.20 - $6.86
Active 1$3.31 - $3.86
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

AR clears the resistance zone at $3.91 - $4.42 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $5.05 - $5.47.

Bearish scenario

AR loses the support zone at $1.49 - $2.23. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $1.49 - $2.23.

Neutral scenario

AR continues trading between $2.23 and $3.91. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$3.77
Bearish
AR is trading below the 50-day average.
SMA200
$2.45
Bullish
AR remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$3.65
Bearish
AR is trading below the 50-day exponential average, which weakens the recent trend.
EMA200
$2.92
Bullish
AR is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
39.78
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 39.78, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
0.00
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 0.00, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
-0.06935
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
8.28%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$4.02
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
-126.87
Bearish
CCI (20) is weak at -126.87, which shows price is trading well below its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$-0.4430
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator is below zero at $-0.4430, which supports bearish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-92.90
Oversold
Williams Percent Range (14) is near the bottom of its recent range at -92.90.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$-0.2228
Bearish
Bull Bear Power (13) is negative at $-0.2228, which suggests sellers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
36.18
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 36.18, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$3.62
Bearish
AR is trading below the Hull Moving Average (9), which weakens the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$4.11
Bearish
AR is trading below the Ichimoku base line, which points to weaker structure.
Assets Similar to Arweave

Over the past 7 days, Arweave price was most positively correlated with the price of Bittensor (TAO), Algorand (ALGO), OKB (OKB), Optimism (OP) and Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) and most negatively correlated with the price of Dash (DASH), Beldex (BDX), JUST (JST), Convex Finance (CVX) and XDC Network (XDC).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BittensorBittensor0.968
Image of AlgorandAlgorand0.952
Image of OKBOKB0.946
Image of OptimismOptimism0.944
Image of Artificial Superintelligence AllianceArtificial Superintelligence Alliance0.943
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of DashDash-0.244
Image of BeldexBeldex-0.228
Image of JUSTJUST-0.200
Image of Convex FinanceConvex Finance-0.117
Image of XDC NetworkXDC Network-0.116

Arweave price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.804, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.597. Currencies that are positively correlated with Arweave indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Arweave, a move in one direction for Arweave would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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