Image of AR
ARArweave
$2.56
-2.35%
1D

Arweave Analysis

Investment Score
A quick view into Arweave's investment prospects.
8.3

Trend and momentum are aligned, and the current chart still offers a constructive buy setup.

What is helping
  • The current level still offers a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
  • Price is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which keeps the near-term trend supportive.
Main risks
  • ATR percentile is elevated, which signals a noisier market and a higher chance of sharp swings.
  • Price is trading below the volume-weighted average, which suggests the move is losing volume-backed support.
Market State Summary
Current regime
Bull Volatile
Confidence: 95%
Why this state?
  • AR is above SMA50
  • SMA50 is above SMA200
  • SMA50 slope is positive over the last 10 days
  • 30-day return is positive
  • ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history
Suggested strategy

In the current Bull Volatile regime, the best-fit approach is Follow the trend, but tighten risk control. The broader trend is still bullish, but price swings are wider and less forgiving, so the upside bias remains intact while execution and risk control need to be tighter.

Trend
Bullish
AR is trading above key moving averages and the medium-term trend is still rising.
Momentum
Neutral
RSI is 56.84, which is neither overbought nor oversold.
Volatility
Volatile
AR ATR volatility is above the 60th percentile of its trailing 180-day history.
Key Levels
Resistance zone
$2.99 - $3.28
Active zone
$2.54 - $2.90
Support zone
$1.44 - $2.49
Chart Patterns
SMA50
SMA100
SMA200
RSI
Neutral
MACD
Bearish
ATR%
Volatile
Volume
Low
Support & Resistance

Arweave support and resistance levels highlight key price zones where buyers and sellers are most active. This section helps identify likely breakout areas, pullback support, overhead resistance, and the current trading range so you can evaluate trend continuation, reversal risk, and near-term crypto price direction.

Support zone
$1.44 - $2.49
Resistance zone
$2.99 - $3.28
Active zone
$2.54 - $2.90
Levels Table
LevelZoneStrength
Support 1$1.44 - $2.49
Resistance 1$2.99 - $3.28
Resistance 2$3.31 - $3.75
Resistance 3$4.09 - $4.38
Resistance 4$4.44 - $4.73
Active 1$2.54 - $2.90
Scenario Analysis
Bullish scenario

AR clears the resistance zone at $2.99 - $3.28 and holds above it. That would strengthen the breakout case and shift attention to $3.31 - $3.75.

Bearish scenario

AR loses the support zone at $1.44 - $2.49. That would weaken the setup and open the way toward $1.44 - $2.49.

Neutral scenario

AR continues trading between $2.49 and $2.99. In that case, range-trading conditions remain active.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators help summarize trend, momentum, volatility, and key price levels. They should not be used in isolation, but they can help identify whether a coin is trending, ranging, overextended, or approaching an important support or resistance level.

IndicatorValueSignalInterpretation
SMA50
$2.09
Bullish
AR is trading above the 50-day average.
SMA200
$1.98
Bullish
AR remains above the long-term trend line.
EMA50
$2.24
Bullish
AR is holding above the 50-day exponential average, which supports the recent trend.
EMA200
$2.38
Bullish
AR is above the 200-day exponential average, which keeps the longer-term structure constructive.
RSI (14)
56.84
Neutral
RSI (14) is at 56.84, which keeps momentum in a balanced range.
Stoch RSI (14)
16.90
Oversold
Stoch RSI (14) is low at 16.90, which shows momentum is pressing near its recent lower extreme.
MACD
0.1934
Bearish
MACD is below its signal line.
ATR
8.75%
Volatile
Volatility is above its 180-day median.
VWMA
$2.58
Bearish
Price is below the volume-weighted average.
Commodity Channel Index (20)
29.88
Neutral
CCI (20) is at 29.88, which keeps price relatively close to its recent average.
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
$0.5090
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator is above zero at $0.5090, which supports bullish momentum.
Williams Percent Range (14)
-50.69
Neutral
Williams Percent Range (14) is at -50.69, which keeps price in the middle of its recent range.
Bull Bear Power (13)
$0.01375
Bullish
Bull Bear Power (13) is positive at $0.01375, which suggests buyers are controlling price relative to the EMA baseline.
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
41.70
Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator is at 41.70, which suggests momentum is balanced across its short, medium, and long windows.
Hull Moving Average (9)
$2.55
Bullish
AR is trading above the Hull Moving Average (9), which supports the near-term trend.
Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26)
$2.45
Bullish
AR is trading above the Ichimoku base line, which supports bullish structure.
Assets Similar to Arweave

Over the past 7 days, Arweave price was most positively correlated with the price of Aster (ASTER), Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR), Optimism (OP) and Ethena (ENA) and most negatively correlated with the price of BitTorrent (BTT), Raydium (RAY), Tezos (XTZ), Venice Token (VVV) and TRON (TRX).

Positively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of AsterAster0.974
Image of Pudgy PenguinsPudgy Penguins0.974
Image of Hedera HashgraphHedera Hashgraph0.971
Image of OptimismOptimism0.970
Image of EthenaEthena0.964
Negatively Correlated Currencies
NameCorrelation
Image of BitTorrentBitTorrent-0.909
Image of RaydiumRaydium-0.821
Image of TezosTezos-0.810
Image of Venice TokenVenice Token-0.756
Image of TRONTRON-0.747

Arweave price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by market cap with a price of 0.614, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by market cap excluding all stablecoins with a price of 0.537. Currencies that are positively correlated with Arweave indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with Arweave, a move in one direction for Arweave would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin.

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